March NAC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - - 4% 26% 70%
2 DODIN David - - - - 2% 22% 75%
3 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
3 MODANLOU Navid 13% 36% 35% 14% 3% -
5 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
6 LEE inwoo - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
7 ZHENG Andy - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
8 ALI Farhan - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
9 MITEV Alexander - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
10 MAO Benjamin - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
11 BRADSHAW Carter 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
12 LAM Alan - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
13 DONAHUE Lake 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
14 GINZBURG Adam - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
15 TRULL A.J. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
16 SINGH Ravin - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
17 KIM Jayden - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
18 BUI Henry - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
19 LAI Boden 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
20 FRANGER Max 4% 30% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
21 KANG EUNWOO - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14%
22 SOKOL Luke 1% 7% 28% 42% 20% 3%
23 LEE Aiden - 1% 7% 20% 34% 28% 10%
24 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
25 SIMMES Jackson - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
26 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
27 ZIEGLER John 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
28 JIANG Matthew - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
29 OSBORN Hunter - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
30 LEE DoWon 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
31 ZENG Andrew - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
32 LOISEAU Oscar - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
33 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
34 CHOI Zachary - 2% 11% 25% 33% 22% 6%
35 WANG Joey - - 4% 24% 48% 24%
36 CHEN Zhengyang - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
37 GRAVES Lawson - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
38 PARK Sangwook - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
39 BORISENKO Samuel - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
40 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
41 CHEN Bowen 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
42 JAIN Samyak 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
43 LI zerong 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
44 SAUNIER Cameron - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
45 SWENSON Diego 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
46 GUO Lucas - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
47 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
48 SINGLETON Aman 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
49 DOUBOV Andrew 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
50 CHAWLA Aarav 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
50 SAVORETTI Pietro - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
52 CARTY JR Johndale 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
53 ROLAND Mackinley 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% -
54 AYOTTE James 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
55 VYSOTSKIY Evan - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
56 HUANG Yidong Allen 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
57 NAKAS Levent - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
58 GONZALEZ Aaron M 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
59 DODIN Daniel M. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
60 DURKIN Hudson - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
61 KIM Teddy 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
62 OLSON Joseph 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
63 MEHROTRA Neel - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
64 BO Genero 6% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
65 KONG Brandon 2% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
66 LIU Yueri - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
67 HUANG Kenneth - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
68 MIDYANY Evan - 3% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
69 PARK Aiden 4% 18% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
70 ZHOU Shawn - - 4% 17% 39% 35% 4%
71 KUPPUSAMY Kotravel 2% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
72 AHN EZRA 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
73 YU Jason 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
74 HERNDON Liam 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
75 SIEDOW William 13% 37% 34% 14% 3% -
76 SOLARZ Arthur 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
77 KIM Julian 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% -
78 GOROZA Eric 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
79 YILMAZ Tarik - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
80 KUGLER Luke - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
81 SHCHUR Grayson - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
82 YAO Tristan 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
83 HEADRICK Jack - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
84 NOVOJILOV Daniel 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
85 DODDAPANENI Aarav 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
86 BAKKEN Archer 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
87 ARMSTRONG TyLee 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
88 SHAFFER Tyler 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
88 WU Nathan 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
90 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 32% 43% 21% 5% - -
91 LIU Adam 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
92 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
93 ROBERTS Arthur 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
94 KIM Henry 7% 28% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
94 NOOL Alexander 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
96 BENNETT Pierce 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
97 ROSIELLO Francesco 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
97 TUMULA Arihaan 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
99 MOORE Alexander 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
100 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 19% 42% 28% 9% 1% - -
101 KROPP Wesley 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
101 HOOD Emery 32% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
101 DAI Chengwen 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
104 YANG Gary 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
105 JAHAN-PARVAR Kourosh 32% 45% 19% 4% - - -
106 TWEMLOW Sacha 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
107 CAFASSO Alexander 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
108 WANG Marcus 31% 40% 22% 6% 1% - -
109 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
110 CLARK Ian 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
111 DOAN Christopher 10% 38% 38% 13% 1% -
112 MAZAHERI Fletcher 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
113 WATTANAKIT Tawin 64% 30% 5% - - - -
113 KIM Remington 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
115 HANNA Alexander 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.