March NAC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
2 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
3 MODANLOU Navid 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
5 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
6 LEE inwoo 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
7 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
8 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
9 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
10 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
11 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
12 LAM Alan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
13 DONAHUE Lake 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
14 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
15 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
16 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
17 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
18 BUI Henry 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
19 LAI Boden 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 3%
20 FRANGER Max 100% 96% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
21 KANG EUNWOO 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
22 SOKOL Luke 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 3%
23 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
24 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
25 SIMMES Jackson 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
26 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
27 ZIEGLER John 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
28 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
29 OSBORN Hunter 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
30 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
31 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
32 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
33 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
34 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 28% 6%
35 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 24%
36 CHEN Zhengyang 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
37 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
38 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
39 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
40 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
41 CHEN Bowen 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
42 JAIN Samyak 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
43 LI zerong 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1%
44 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
45 SWENSON Diego 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
46 GUO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
47 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
48 SINGLETON Aman 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% 1%
49 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
50 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
50 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
52 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
53 ROLAND Mackinley 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
54 AYOTTE James 100% 96% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
55 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
56 HUANG Yidong Allen 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
57 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
58 GONZALEZ Aaron M 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1%
59 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
60 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
61 KIM Teddy 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
62 OLSON Joseph 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
63 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
64 BO Genero 100% 94% 63% 24% 4% - -
65 KONG Brandon 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
66 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
67 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
68 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
69 PARK Aiden 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
70 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 4%
71 KUPPUSAMY Kotravel 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
72 AHN EZRA 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
73 YU Jason 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
74 HERNDON Liam 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1%
75 SIEDOW William 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
76 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
77 KIM Julian 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
78 GOROZA Eric 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
79 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
80 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 2%
81 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
82 YAO Tristan 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
83 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
84 NOVOJILOV Daniel 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
85 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
86 BAKKEN Archer 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
87 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
88 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
88 WU Nathan 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
90 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
91 LIU Adam 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
92 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
93 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
94 KIM Henry 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
94 NOOL Alexander 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
96 BENNETT Pierce 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
97 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
97 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
99 MOORE Alexander 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
100 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
101 KROPP Wesley 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
101 HOOD Emery 100% 68% 27% 7% 1% - -
101 DAI Chengwen 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
104 YANG Gary 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
105 JAHAN-PARVAR Kourosh 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
106 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
107 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
108 WANG Marcus 100% 69% 29% 7% 1% - -
109 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
110 CLARK Ian 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
111 DOAN Christopher 100% 90% 52% 14% 1% -
112 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 85% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
113 WATTANAKIT Tawin 100% 36% 6% - - - -
113 KIM Remington 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
115 HANNA Alexander 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.