Boston Fencing Club ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, October 29, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
2 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - - - 4% 31% 65%
3 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 7% 40% 53%
3 SU Caleb - 1% 10% 37% 41% 11%
5 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
6 EKE Frank - - 3% 22% 52% 22%
7 KIM Dylan J. - - 2% 12% 38% 40% 8%
8 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
9 INSLER Ethan C. - - - 4% 33% 62%
10 DOSS David A. - - - 3% 25% 72%
11 WU Joseph - - 1% 8% 41% 50%
12 DOELEMAN Zeno - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
13 ROUSE Brian G. - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
14 NIXON Christian A. - - 4% 24% 54% 18%
15 CARPENTER Liam - - - 4% 29% 67%
16 SPRINGER Michael 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
17 RICHARD Owen - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
18 WU Jonathan - 1% 5% 24% 43% 24% 3%
19 WALTON Cameron L. - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
20 CHOI Mason - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
21 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
22 ANDERSON Brendan P. - 3% 19% 37% 31% 9%
23 GALLANT Antoine - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
24 JOSLIN Tyler 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
25 MAZZOLI Julio C. - - 3% 22% 52% 22%
26 FERGUSON Magnus K. - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
26 ROLLO Emmett H. - 8% 34% 39% 16% 2%
28 JENNINGS Adin 3% 21% 41% 28% 6% -
29 SCHULZE Ethan - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
30 GAO Daniel - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
31 SHA Michael 6% 32% 42% 17% 2% -
32 PAPSUN Benjamin J. 7% 46% 35% 11% 1% -
33 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - 1% 7% 29% 45% 18%
34 SAVORETTI Francesco - 3% 18% 40% 31% 7%
35 PRIHODKO Max - 2% 15% 37% 36% 9%
36 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 1% 12% 36% 38% 12% 1%
37 LEONE III Charles D. - 2% 16% 43% 34% 4%
38 ZENG Zihan - 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
39 LAI Aedin 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
40 MATEI Daniel 8% 36% 37% 16% 3% -
41 SIMPSON Patrick 1% 8% 31% 43% 15% 1%
42 MAHESH Tarun 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
43 RYAN Joshua P. 1% 12% 36% 40% 11% 1%
43 TORRES Gianni 3% 20% 44% 28% 5% -
45 OSTIGUY Cameron 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
46 GORTI Agustya 3% 36% 44% 15% 2% -
47 MARINI Davide 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% - -
48 GERSEN Jacob - 7% 28% 42% 20% 3%
49 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas 9% 38% 39% 13% 1% -
50 BUSH Thomas - 3% 19% 44% 30% 4%
51 LIU Jeremiah W. 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
52 SKAALAND Will 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 2%
53 CHOI Aleksey 3% 32% 46% 17% 2% -
54 LI Zachary 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
55 XIE Brandon 4% 27% 42% 22% 4% -
56 BELLIVEAU Shane 5% 27% 43% 22% 3% -
56 CAFASSO Martin 13% 39% 36% 11% 1% -
58 SCHIAVONE Oreste 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
59 JIANG Ryan 7% 30% 40% 19% 3% -
60 MACNEILL Owen 21% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
61 ZOU Xianyang 15% 46% 31% 7% - -
62 REDDY Arya 28% 45% 23% 4% - -
63 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
64 FOLEY Kevin - 2% 12% 36% 43% 8%
65 KUBATIN Anton V. 11% 39% 36% 12% 1% -
66 PAN Anthony 63% 31% 5% - - -
67 BEALS Alden 1% 9% 31% 39% 17% 3% -
68 SCOTT George R. - 2% 15% 44% 33% 6%
69 LIN Yufei 32% 44% 20% 3% - -
70 DALY Conor 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1%
71 KIRSCH Adam J. 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
72 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 51% 39% 9% 1% - -
73 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
74 SANTOS Felipe 1% 10% 37% 41% 10% 1%
74 GRAYSON Joshua 53% 38% 8% 1% - -
76 WANG Justin 18% 45% 30% 7% - -
77 SONG Troy 16% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
78 HU Robert J. 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
79 PETROV Niki A. 14% 40% 35% 10% 1% -
80 CHENG Bingyi 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
81 ZHANG Roland 79% 20% 2% - - -
82 HU Jansen T. 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
83 STEINMANN Simon 59% 34% 6% 1% - -
83 MILLSON Daniel 5% 32% 42% 19% 3% -
85 WU Chi Kuan 76% 22% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.