Boston Fencing Club ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, October 29, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
2 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 53%
3 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 11%
5 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
6 EKE Frank 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 22%
7 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 8%
8 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
9 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 62%
10 DOSS David A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
11 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50%
12 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
13 ROUSE Brian G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
14 NIXON Christian A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 18%
15 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
16 SPRINGER Michael 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
17 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
18 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27% 3%
19 WALTON Cameron L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
20 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
21 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
22 ANDERSON Brendan P. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
23 GALLANT Antoine 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
24 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
25 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 22%
26 FERGUSON Magnus K. 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
26 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 91% 57% 19% 2%
28 JENNINGS Adin 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% -
29 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
30 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
31 SHA Michael 100% 94% 62% 20% 3% -
32 PAPSUN Benjamin J. 100% 93% 47% 12% 1% -
33 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
34 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 7%
35 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
36 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 99% 86% 51% 13% 1%
37 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 4%
38 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 5%
39 LAI Aedin 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
40 MATEI Daniel 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% -
41 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 99% 91% 60% 17% 1%
42 MAHESH Tarun 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
43 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 99% 87% 51% 11% 1%
43 TORRES Gianni 100% 97% 77% 33% 5% -
45 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
46 GORTI Agustya 100% 97% 61% 17% 2% -
47 MARINI Davide 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
48 GERSEN Jacob 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 3%
49 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas 100% 91% 54% 14% 1% -
50 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 4%
51 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
52 SKAALAND Will 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
53 CHOI Aleksey 100% 97% 66% 20% 2% -
54 LI Zachary 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% -
55 XIE Brandon 100% 96% 69% 26% 4% -
56 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 95% 68% 25% 3% -
56 CAFASSO Martin 100% 87% 49% 12% 1% -
58 SCHIAVONE Oreste 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
59 JIANG Ryan 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% -
60 MACNEILL Owen 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
61 ZOU Xianyang 100% 85% 39% 7% - -
62 REDDY Arya 100% 72% 27% 4% - -
63 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
64 FOLEY Kevin 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 8%
65 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% -
66 PAN Anthony 100% 37% 6% - - -
67 BEALS Alden 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 3% -
68 SCOTT George R. 100% 100% 98% 83% 39% 6%
69 LIN Yufei 100% 68% 24% 3% - -
70 DALY Conor 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
71 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
72 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
73 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
74 SANTOS Felipe 100% 99% 89% 52% 11% 1%
74 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
76 WANG Justin 100% 82% 37% 7% - -
77 SONG Troy 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
78 HU Robert J. 100% 90% 55% 18% 2% - -
79 PETROV Niki A. 100% 86% 46% 11% 1% -
80 CHENG Bingyi 100% 72% 29% 5% - - -
81 ZHANG Roland 100% 21% 2% - - -
82 HU Jansen T. 100% 94% 68% 28% 6% -
83 STEINMANN Simon 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
83 MILLSON Daniel 100% 95% 64% 22% 3% -
85 WU Chi Kuan 100% 24% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.