2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 12:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAE Kevin - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
2 BING Charles - - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
3 LI Eric - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
3 LANG Dong Lin - - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
5 LEWIS Akhil - - - 2% 20% 49% 29%
6 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - - 5% 23% 45% 26%
7 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - - 3% 26% 71%
8 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 1% 9% 29% 39% 18% 3%
9 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
10 SHIN Joshua J. - - 2% 12% 36% 43% 7%
11 LIN Michael - - - 1% 16% 47% 36%
12 SIMA Congyu Josh - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
13 LI Arvin - - 2% 13% 37% 38% 10%
14 HE Xiangrui - - 3% 17% 41% 32% 6%
15 LEE Jonah - - 4% 18% 39% 31% 8%
16 ORLOV Dmitriy - 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
17 LI Matthew - 1% 11% 35% 41% 13%
18 LIN James G. - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
19 LIU Derek - 5% 26% 42% 24% 4%
20 SONG Bryan - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
21 YOON Dylan - - 3% 19% 47% 27% 4%
22 LIGOS Alex M. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
23 ACHILOV Sayid - - 2% 14% 38% 37% 9%
24 DAVIDSON Elliot - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
25 LAURICELLA Douglas - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
26 CHENG Jonathan - 1% 6% 27% 45% 21%
27 WANG Mason 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 3%
28 MILLER Jordan 4% 22% 41% 26% 6% 1%
29 XU Ethan 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1% -
30 LEE Eugene 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
31 LI Ayren 2% 14% 34% 34% 13% 2% -
32 LI Aaron - 5% 20% 37% 30% 7% -
33 TJON Calum 9% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
34 WERWA Griffith 1% 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
35 RNO Kyler 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1% -
36 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 1% 12% 39% 36% 12% 1%
37 REZA Farazi 2% 16% 40% 34% 8% 1% -
38 NICOLL James 2% 19% 42% 30% 6% - -
38 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 8% 37% 39% 14% 2% - -
40 AKYAMAC Bora 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
41 NICOLSON William 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
42 XU Andy P. 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% -
43 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson - - 5% 21% 42% 27% 5%
44 WUN Jonathan 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
45 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
46 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
47 YU Stephen 27% 45% 23% 5% - -
48 BAI Brian 72% 25% 3% - - -
49 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 8% 46% 35% 10% 1% -
50 KOVACS Wyatt 2% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1% -
51 PEDERSEN Charles 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
52 LIU Ryan 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
53 LYNCH Owen C. 1% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
54 NICOLL William 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
55 LEUNG Jin 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
56 SRINIVASAN Vedant 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
57 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 7% 29% 38% 20% 4% - -
58 DALBERG Anders 39% 42% 16% 2% - - -
59 FRANK Amir 28% 43% 23% 5% - - -
60 TAM Kyle 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
61 VALENTINE David 86% 13% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.