2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 12:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
3 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
5 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 29%
6 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
7 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
8 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
9 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
10 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 7%
11 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 36%
12 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
13 LI Arvin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
14 HE Xiangrui 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 6%
15 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 8%
16 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
17 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
18 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
19 LIU Derek 100% 100% 95% 69% 28% 4%
20 SONG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
21 YOON Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31% 4%
22 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
23 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
24 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
25 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
26 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
27 WANG Mason 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
28 MILLER Jordan 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
29 XU Ethan 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
30 LEE Eugene 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 2% -
31 LI Ayren 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
32 LI Aaron 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8% -
33 TJON Calum 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
34 WERWA Griffith 100% 99% 83% 47% 16% 3% -
35 RNO Kyler 100% 97% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
36 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 99% 88% 49% 13% 1%
37 REZA Farazi 100% 98% 83% 43% 9% 1% -
38 NICOLL James 100% 98% 78% 36% 6% - -
38 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 92% 55% 16% 2% - -
40 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
41 NICOLSON William 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
42 XU Andy P. 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5% -
43 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 5%
44 WUN Jonathan 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
45 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
46 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
47 YU Stephen 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
48 BAI Brian 100% 28% 3% - - -
49 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 92% 46% 11% 1% -
50 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 2% -
51 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
52 LIU Ryan 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
53 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
54 NICOLL William 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
55 LEUNG Jin 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
56 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
57 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
58 DALBERG Anders 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
59 FRANK Amir 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
60 TAM Kyle 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
61 VALENTINE David 100% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.