American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
2 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
3 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
5 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
6 RODE Damian E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
7 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 10%
8 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
9 DING Phillip C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
10 BHATNAGAR Nishay V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
11 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
12 KRONROD Tal 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
13 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
14 DIXON Samuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
15 KING Cameron 100% 100% 93% 61% 20% 2%
16 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
17 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
18 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 19%
19 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
20 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
21 WIEDERHORN Ethan 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
22 FERREIRA Noah J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
23 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
24 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
25 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
26 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
27 SPANO Gideon S. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
28 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
29 DYER Ian E. 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
30 WISNIEWSKI Bart 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1%
31 JIN Owen 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
32 KWAN Hall Gi 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
33 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
34 GLAZ Nicholas S. 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 3%
35 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
36 PANARIN Nicholas (Nick) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
37 ZHANG YuJian 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
38 GUI Runlin 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
39 MOYSE Alexander S. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
40 WU Joseph 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
41 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
42 GROSSMAN August 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
43 LIU Jack 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
44 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
45 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
46 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
47 WANG Eric S 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
48 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
49 LIBSON Tazman 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
50 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
51 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
51 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
53 SAM Kory 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
54 MAGDA Daniel 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
55 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
56 URQUILLA Marc 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
57 BAZURO Andrew 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
58 STOREY Joseph P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
59 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
60 DIXON Thomas 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
61 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
62 TONG Chihao 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
63 WADE Grayson 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
64 CONNORS Jacob 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
65 MUNROE Shane 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
66 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
67 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
68 ZHAO Luhan 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
69 PAK Charles 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
70 HONG James 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
71 CHEUNG Liyan 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
72 PRAKASH Nikhil 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
73 BARSEMIAN Alexander 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -
74 PARK Frederick 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
75 ZHENG Christopher 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
76 MAAS Sean H. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
77 LI Jeffrey 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
78 LEE Alexander 100% 64% 19% 2% - -
79 SIDDIQUI Humza K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
80 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
81 SKIFFINGTON Sam 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
82 CHOW Maxwell 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
83 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
84 BLANCHARD Jonah 100% 76% 26% 4% - - -
85 COTAJ Andrew 100% 85% 42% 10% 1% - -
86 DWYER Michael 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
87 LI Brian 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
88 KUMAR Aidan 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
89 LACY Hayden 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -
90 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
91 PRADHAN Aryan 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
92 KHAN Ahmer S. 100% 83% 40% 7% - -
93 KHAN Raaid 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.