Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | DE LA CRUZ Jean Carlos | V V V V V V | V V V V V V | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 2 | TONG Chihao | V V D V V | V V V V V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 3 | ROMANIAS William (Willy) E. | V V V V D | V V V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 3 | SPANO Gideon S. | V V D V V V | V V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 5 | KIM Nicholas W. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 6 | JIN Owen | V D V V V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 7 | FERREIRA Noah J. | V V V D V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 8 | WU Jason | D V V D V D | V V V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 9 | DYER Ian E. | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| 10 | WIEDERHORN Ethan | V V V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 11 | BREKHMAN Maxim | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 12 | DOTSON Gus | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 13 | PERSAUD Daivik | D D V V D | V V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 14 | ATANASIO Joseph | D V D D D V | V V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 15 | RODELL Hunter C. | D D V D D V | V V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 16 | HILLSTROM Nathan | D D V V D D | V V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 17 | PAHLAVI Kamran | V V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 18 | GUMAGAY Paul | V D V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 19 | LONCAR Luka E. | D V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 20 | MANOUKIAN David | V D V V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 21 | SAM Kory | V V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 22 | LI Jeffrey | V V V D V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 23 | JIN Alexander | V D V D V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 24 | GOHEL Dayus T. | V V V D V D | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 25 | TUCKER Owen J. | V V D V D V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 26 | NOP Will H. | D V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 27 | TASSART Alan | V V D V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 28 | GERSEN Jacob | D V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 29 | ALFAIATE Lucas | V V D D V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 30 | LI Brian | D D V D V | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 31 | GUI Runlin | D V V D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 32 | CHAI Jonathan | D V V D D D | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 33 | LANGTON Sawyer | V V V D V | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 34 | BUSH Thomas | D V V V V | D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 35 | WU Joseph | V V D V V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 36 | SIMPSON Patrick | D V V V V | D | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| 37 | MAGDA Daniel | V V D V V D | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 38 | SKIFFINGTON Sam | V D V D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 39 | MAAS Sean H. | V D D V V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 40 | MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. | V V D V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 41 | CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. | V V D V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 42 | PEDERSEN Christopher C. | D V V D D V | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 43 | HEKMAT Sina R. | V D D D V | D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 44 | FENWICK Luke A. | D D V V D | D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 45 | JANKOWICH Alexander E. | V D D D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 46 | STEFANOV Michael A. | V D D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 47 | O'BRIEN Timothy S. | D D V V D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 48 | MACKINNON Russell H. | D D D V V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 49 | JENNINGS Adin | V V D D D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 50 | HONG James | D V D V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 51 | PEREZ Francisco | D V D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 52 | LESSER Jeremy | D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 53 | SUN Jason | D V D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 54 | WISNIEWSKI Bart | D D D D V | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 55 | STALL-RYAN Jonathan | V D D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 56 | DOUGLAS Colin F. | D D V D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 57 | TATE Leon J. | V D D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 57 | KATOPES Peter | V D D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 59 | FAN Russell | D D D D V | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 60 | BINDAS Odinn A. | D D D V D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 61 | LIBERT Brian | D D D D V D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 62 | CHEN Austin | D D V D D D | V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 63 | WHITELOCK James R. | D D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 64 | SUN Jeffery | D D D D D D | V D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 65 | KAPLAN Alejandro | D V D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 66 | MISHIMA Torata | D D D D D V | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 67 | PARK Frederick | D D D V D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 68 | CONNORS Jacob | D D D V D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 69 | FUSSMAN Yuval | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 69 | SHAO Haian | D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.