Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 DAN Rex 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
3 SLOUGH Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
3 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
5 BUI Henry 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
6 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
7 HU Robert J. 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 9% 1%
8 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
9 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
10 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
11 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
12 HU Alexander W. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
13 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
13 HULL Liam 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3%
15 CARNALL Hunter 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
16 PATEL Shloke 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
17 METZLER Calder 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% < 1%
18 TRITHART Jacob M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
19 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
20 RUSSELL James 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
21 CHUNG Andrew 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
22 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
23 MARKOWITZ William M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
24 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 3%
25 HU Anton 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
26 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
27 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
28 WU Shaochi 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
29 ZHANG Sen 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
30 MAROCHNIK Daniel 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
31 CHENH Justin 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
32 CHEN Chang-Rung 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
33 HAN Sam 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 5%
34 KIM Joshua 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
35 MILLSON Daniel 100% 96% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
36 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 100% 100% 95% 80% 51% 20% 4%
37 MORTIMER Gavin 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
38 METZLER Jack 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
39 JONES Jackson 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
40 CARO Seph 100% 77% 29% 5% - -
41 KIM Jeff 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
42 WANG Aiden 100% 77% 33% 8% 1% -
43 STONE Ken 100% 62% 18% 3% - -
44 HURST Palmer 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 9%
45 RUSSELL Tallis 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
46 VADDE Pranav 100% 23% 2% - - - -
47 KNIGHT Ryan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
48 BOYKO Frank C. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
48 FORAIDA Khalid 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
50 ANDERSON Donald 100% 70% 25% 5% - -
51 KANG JUNWOO 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
52 HUGHES Tyler 100% 91% 59% 24% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.