Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
2 MURPHY Thomas P. - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
3 HE Lawrence - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
3 USDIN Anton - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
5 KIM Dylan J. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
6 WOLFE Alex - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
7 KWOUN Miles S. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
8 CHEN Eric - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
9 KROPP Jack - - - 3% 15% 39% 43%
10 LE BORGNE Matthieu 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% -
11 CORBIN Bennett - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2%
12 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
13 FISHMAN Rahm 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
14 LI Benjamin - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
15 GLENNON Sebastian J. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
16 SINGH Aryaman - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
17 TIKHONOV Iliya - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
18 STEPHENS Corbin - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
19 WANG Trontour 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
20 ZHANG Caden - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
21 TIKHONOV Daniel - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
22 SCHULZE Ethan - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
23 LEONE III Charles D. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
24 ABBOUD Michael - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 4%
25 TRIMMER Colin - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
26 WOZNIAK Fryderyk - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
27 CAO Albert - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13%
28 ALI Farhan 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
29 BRUNDAGE Nevan 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -
30 JORDAN Anton - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
31 DUAN eric - 2% 12% 28% 35% 20% 3%
32 MAROCHNIK Daniel 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
33 TIRADO Giancarlo 1% 13% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
34 LEE JoonWon - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
35 LAM Alan 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
36 HU Robert J. 1% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
37 ROTHKA Spencer J. 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
38 CHENH Justin 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% - -
39 ZHANG William 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
40 LIN Harrison 1% 11% 35% 36% 15% 2%
41 HU Anton 9% 43% 35% 11% 1% -
42 BERNARD Jack B. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
43 CAO Brad - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 6%
44 PETROW Zoryan 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
45 PAN Tristan - 7% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
46 SAKO Ayrton J. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
47 MODANLOU Navid 19% 38% 29% 12% 2% - -
48 BANNEN Nicholas 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
48 MEGGERS Davin 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
50 AYOTTE James 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
51 METZLER Calder 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
52 LEE Aiden 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
53 SO Lorenzo - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
54 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
54 FORAIDA Khalid 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
56 KARIMOV Amir 27% 46% 22% 4% - - -
57 KANG JUNWOO 68% 27% 4% - - - -
58 PILIPOWSKYJ Luke 63% 31% 5% - - -
59 WARLAUMONT Alexander 63% 30% 6% 1% - - -
60 CARTY JR Johndale 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
61 PATEL Shloke 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
62 SZIEDE Sean 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.