Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 USDIN Anton 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
5 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
6 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
7 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
8 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
9 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
10 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
11 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
12 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
13 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
14 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
15 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 9% 1%
16 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
17 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
18 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
19 WANG Trontour 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% 1%
20 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
21 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
22 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
23 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
24 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
25 TRIMMER Colin 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
26 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
27 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
28 ALI Farhan 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
29 BRUNDAGE Nevan 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
30 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
31 DUAN eric 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 3%
32 MAROCHNIK Daniel 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
33 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
34 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
35 LAM Alan 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
36 HU Robert J. 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
37 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
38 CHENH Justin 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
39 ZHANG William 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
40 LIN Harrison 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
41 HU Anton 100% 91% 48% 13% 2% -
42 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
43 CAO Brad 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
44 PETROW Zoryan 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
45 PAN Tristan 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
46 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
47 MODANLOU Navid 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
48 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
48 MEGGERS Davin 100% 99% 86% 54% 18% 3% -
50 AYOTTE James 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
51 METZLER Calder 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
52 LEE Aiden 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
53 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
54 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
54 FORAIDA Khalid 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
56 KARIMOV Amir 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
57 KANG JUNWOO 100% 32% 5% - - - -
58 PILIPOWSKYJ Luke 100% 37% 5% - - -
59 WARLAUMONT Alexander 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
60 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
61 PATEL Shloke 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
62 SZIEDE Sean 100% 70% 25% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.