Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | NORTH Alexander M. | D V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 2 | CLICK Aiden | V D V V V V | V V V V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 3 | HRAPSKY Ryan J. | D V V V V V | V V V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 3 | ZHANG Caden | V V V V D V | V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 5 | JORDAN Anton | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 6 | DISIMONE David Z. | V V V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 7 | CULPEPPER John (JR) R. | V D V V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 8 | BERNARD Jack B. | V D V D V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 9 | HEADRICK Lance | V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 10 | HITCHCOCK David | V V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 11 | TABLEMAN Doug S. | D V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 12 | ABBOUD Michael | V V D V V D | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 13 | ROTHKA Spencer J. | D D V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 14 | CHENH Justin | V V V D D | V V D | 1.0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| 15 | TIKHONOV Daniel | V D D V D | V V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 16 | TAMULONIS Fen C. | D D D D V | V V D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 17 | SNYDER IV William B. | V V V V V | D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 18 | CHUNG Joshua | V V V V D V | D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 19 | CAO Albert | V V V V D | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 20 | KYPRAIOS Nicholas | V V D D V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 21 | TOMASZEWSKI Joshua | V V D D V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 22 | AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. | D D V V V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 23 | WANG Clayton | V V D D V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 24 | MODANLOU Navid | V D V D V | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 25 | AGARWAL Adheesh | V V V D D D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 26 | MEGGERS Davin | V D V V D D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 27 | SINGH Ravin | D V D V D V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 28 | ALI Farhan | D V V D D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 29 | NORMILE Nicholas | D D D V V | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 30 | MORET Eric N. | D V D V D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 31 | TIKHONOV Iliya | D D D V V D | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 32 | CAO Brad | D D D V D V | V D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 33 | SO Lorenzo | V D V D V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 34 | TATE William Isom | V V D D D V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 35 | PAN Colin | V V V D D D | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 36 | LIN Zizhen | V D V D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 37 | LEE Aiden | D V V D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 38 | LEE DoWon | V D D D V | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 39 | NORWOOD Malik | V D D V D D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 40 | SURIKOV Igor | D D V V D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 41 | BYUN Andrew | D V V D D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 42 | RICHARDS Dick | D D D V D | D | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| 43 | DAVIS Jonah | D V D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 44 | AMOLSCH Dylan | D D D D V D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 45 | JARRELL Keegan | D D D D V D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 46 | ZHANG Sen | D D D D D V | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 46 | SZIEDE Kieran | V D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 48 | PENG Yue | D D D D D V | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 49 | BUCCELLATO Joel S. | D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 50 | RUSSELL Tallis | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 51 | WALLACE James | D D D D D | D | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| 52 | MANITT Philip | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.