Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, January 19, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORTH Alexander M. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
2 CLICK Aiden - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
3 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 ZHANG Caden - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
5 JORDAN Anton - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
6 DISIMONE David Z. 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
7 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. - - - 4% 27% 69%
8 BERNARD Jack B. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
9 HEADRICK Lance - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
10 HITCHCOCK David - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
11 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - 7% 34% 43% 16%
12 ABBOUD Michael - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
13 ROTHKA Spencer J. - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
14 CHENH Justin 30% 47% 21% 2% - -
15 TIKHONOV Daniel 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
16 TAMULONIS Fen C. 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 2%
17 SNYDER IV William B. - - 3% 25% 47% 25%
18 CHUNG Joshua - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
19 CAO Albert - 1% 10% 30% 41% 18%
20 KYPRAIOS Nicholas - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
21 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 1% 13% 31% 33% 18% 4% -
22 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
23 WANG Clayton - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
24 MODANLOU Navid 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
25 AGARWAL Adheesh - 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
26 MEGGERS Davin 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
27 SINGH Ravin 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
28 ALI Farhan 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
29 NORMILE Nicholas 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
30 MORET Eric N. 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 3%
31 TIKHONOV Iliya - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 3%
32 CAO Brad - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
33 SO Lorenzo 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
34 TATE William Isom 7% 32% 37% 19% 4% - -
35 PAN Colin - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
36 LIN Zizhen 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
37 LEE Aiden 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
38 LEE DoWon 24% 47% 25% 3% - -
39 NORWOOD Malik - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
40 SURIKOV Igor 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
41 BYUN Andrew 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
42 RICHARDS Dick - < 1% 4% 28% 46% 21%
43 DAVIS Jonah 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
44 AMOLSCH Dylan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
45 JARRELL Keegan 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
46 ZHANG Sen 4% 29% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
46 SZIEDE Kieran 49% 38% 12% 2% - - -
48 PENG Yue 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
49 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 11% 39% 40% 10% 1% -
50 RUSSELL Tallis 31% 45% 20% 4% - -
51 WALLACE James 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
52 MANITT Philip 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.