March NAC

Cadet Men's Foil

Sunday, March 3, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
2 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 55%
3 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
5 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
6 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 53%
7 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
8 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
9 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
10 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
11 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
12 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
13 LI Bradley 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3%
14 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
14 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
16 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
17 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
18 PONS Diego 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 10%
19 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 21%
20 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
21 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
21 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
23 BUDOVSKYI Borys 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 34%
24 LI Toby 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 7%
25 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
26 LEE Eugene 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
27 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
28 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
29 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% -
30 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
31 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17% 1%
32 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 92% 63% 22% 1%
33 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 37%
33 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
35 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 100% 91% 39%
36 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
37 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
37 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 5%
39 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 21%
40 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
41 SAH Steven 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13% 1%
42 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
42 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
44 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
45 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 2%
46 LU Kevin 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
47 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 23% 2%
48 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
49 FENG Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 25% 2%
50 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 10%
50 LING Xiangqian(Daniel) 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
52 WANG Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
53 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 35% 5%
54 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
55 LU Nathan 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
56 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
57 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
57 SONG Noel 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
59 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
60 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 7%
61 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
62 YANG Charles 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
63 XIE Buster 100% 100% 90% 54% 16% 1%
64 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 99% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
65 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
66 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
67 LI Richard 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 6% -
68 XU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
69 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
70 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
71 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 21% 2%
72 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
73 PARK Rion 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 4%
74 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
74 BLACK Zachary 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
76 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 4%
77 LIU William 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 21% 2%
77 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
80 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 7%
81 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
82 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
83 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
84 BORKOWSKI Olgierd 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
85 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
86 WONG Evan 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 10% 1%
87 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44% 4%
88 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 32% 6%
89 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
90 CHENG Logan 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
91 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
91 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
91 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
91 WU Trevor 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 6%
95 ZHOU Ryan 100% 100% 99% 85% 43% 9% -
96 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
97 CHEN Bolin Liam 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
98 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 100% 93% 54% 12% 1%
99 CHANG Nathan 100% 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
100 PARKER Isaiah 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
101 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
102 WU Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17% 1%
103 CHAN Ian 100% 100% 100% 91% 43%
104 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 35%
105 WANDJI Noah 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% -
106 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
107 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
108 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 100% 99% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
109 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18% 1%
110 MARTIN Darius 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 6% -
111 GUO Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
112 HAYES Stewart 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1% -
113 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
113 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
115 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
116 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 4%
117 SUN Ryan 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 4% -
118 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
118 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28% 2%
120 PAN Ethan 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
121 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
122 ZHANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 1%
123 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 93% 64% 22% 3% -
124 ZHENG Marcus 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% - -
125 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 93% 61% 19% 2%
126 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 100% 91% 27% 2%
127 CHOI Ethan 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
128 LI Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
129 TAN Junghyun 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
130 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26% 3%
131 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 86% 50% 15% 2% -
132 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 99% 84% 40% 8% -
132 LING Carson Jr 100% 100% 95% 66% 26% 4% -
134 ONG Nicholas 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
135 GERRISH William 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
135 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 13% 2%
137 UPENDER West 100% 99% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
138 YU Eric 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
139 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
139 CHANG Bernard 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 3%
141 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 2%
142 LU Mengdi 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
143 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
144 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 93% 56% 13% 1%
145 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 95% 65% 23% 4% -
145 TOOMRE Kai 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
147 SHANNON Jack 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
148 HUA Aaron 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1% -
149 FEDELI Francesco 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
150 FANG Haoyu 100% 94% 63% 23% 3% - -
151 ZHANG Jayden 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
152 PE Noah 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
153 HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
154 YU William 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
154 LEE Mason 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
156 BAI Brian 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
157 KUE Temujin 100% 100% 95% 65% 23% 4% -
157 HAN Alexander 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
159 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 4%
160 ZHANG Raphael 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
160 CHONG Tristan 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
162 DAI Christopher 100% 96% 73% 30% 5% - -
163 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
164 GE Felix Fei 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
165 CHUN Dashel 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% 1% -
165 BI Ryan 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
167 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 93% 59% 17% 2% - -
168 SICAT Justin 100% 96% 67% 25% 5% - -
169 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
169 WANG Li 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
171 CHOI Benjamin 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
171 BIELER Mason 100% 98% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
173 TURNER Finian 100% 66% 16% 2% - - -
174 CHANG Jeremy 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
175 BORG Matthew 100% 99% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
176 MCKEE Calvin 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
177 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
177 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 79% 32% 4% - - -
179 KIM Jonah 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
180 FOY Grant 100% 96% 69% 20% 2% - -
181 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
182 CHOI Elliot 100% 67% 14% 1% - - -
183 BAI Austin 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% - -
184 MA Oliver 100% 69% 18% 2% - - -
184 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 100% 63% 17% 2% - - -
186 DHOKTE Neev 100% 100% 93% 48% 11% 1% -
187 MIRON Ioachim 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
188 PARK William 100% 95% 51% 13% 1% -
189 ANWEILER Nathan 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
190 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
191 CHIANG Aiden 100% 74% 8% - -
192 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
193 MARTIRE Luca 100% 87% 43% 9% 1% - -
194 FUKUDA Brando 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
195 NEICE William 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
195 LYU Mingye 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
197 WONG Jacob W. 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
197 CHA James 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
199 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 99% 85% 38% 8% 1% -
200 HE Bourne 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
201 PETROV Mikhail 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
201 LU Jingyi 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
203 GOWDA Sumeru 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
204 SHIN Noah 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
205 PARK David 100% 88% 47% 12% 1% - -
205 LI Edison M. 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
207 HOU Gaven 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
207 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
209 YUE Jackson 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
210 TAM Kyle 100% 99% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
210 XU Nathan 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
212 YU Kinton 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
213 LIANG Ethan 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
214 ZHANG Lucas 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
215 ONIK Ari N. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
216 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
217 XIE Yimo 100% 85% 42% 6% - - -
218 QIAN Zekai 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
218 FRASER Rhys 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
220 ZHANG Andrew 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
221 SUN Neo 100% 60% 7% - - - -
222 GAO Andrew 100% 73% 33% 8% 1% - -
223 LEE Christopher 100% 78% 19% 2% - - -
224 BLACK Henry 100% 75% 24% 2% - - -
225 HE Ian 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
225 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
227 REID Wesley 100% 30% 4% - - - -
228 LAM Kirin 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
229 YANG Arthur 100% 86% 43% 10% 1% - -
230 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
230 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% - -
232 SHAW Spencer 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
232 KIM Seoheul 100% 70% 22% 2% - - -
234 CHANG Joseph 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
234 CAO Sean 100% 53% 6% - - - -
236 BHANOT Arjun 100% 33% 1% - -
237 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
237 YANG Tate 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% - -
239 SCHUMANN Benjamin 100% 53% 8% - - - -
239 BANUELOS Dario 100% 13% 1% - - - -
241 TRUJILLO Jonah 100% 19% 1% - - -
242 WEI Winston 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
242 COLLIGAN Apollo 100% 26% 3% - - - -
242 WANG Albert 100% 53% 8% - - - -
245 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
245 GUO Joey 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
245 OLLILA Gideon 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
248 PUNG Corbin 100% 39% 4% - - - -
249 LUZIER Ben 100% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.