Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAO Castor T. - - - < 1% 6% 33% 61%
2 KIM Yonjae - - - - 3% 27% 70%
3 BAS Liam - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
3 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
5 KATAYAMA Kevin - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
6 LEWIS Akhil - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
7 SIMA Congyu Josh - 2% 11% 30% 38% 17% 2%
8 KNIZHNIK David - - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
9 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
10 LIN James G. - - - 9% 33% 41% 16%
11 GRIFFIN John O. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
12 LIU Jinning - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
13 LU Royce - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 4%
14 LEE Brendan - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
15 LEE Aidan - - - - 6% 32% 62%
16 DESANDO Michael R. - - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
17 HE Xiangrui - 1% 8% 30% 38% 19% 3%
18 TANG Albert - 1% 5% 19% 38% 32% 6%
19 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen - 5% 23% 42% 24% 6% -
20 ZOBEL Eric H. - - - 8% 32% 42% 18%
21 TAN Aidan - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12% 1%
22 MATSAKH Philip - - 2% 16% 40% 33% 9%
23 LI Matthew - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
24 LANG Dong Lin - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
25 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 3%
26 MAGIDSON Gabriel - - - 4% 22% 52% 21%
27 CHEN Kyle P. 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
28 FENG Michael 4% 19% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
29 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 12% 47% 32% 8% 1% - -
30 LEE Jonah - - 2% 13% 37% 41% 7%
31 GRIGORIEV Eduard - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
32 YANG Dylan 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
33 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) - 1% 11% 34% 39% 14% 1%
34 PO Oliver - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
35 AKYAMAC Bora - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9% -
36 DOBBINS Evan W. - - 3% 15% 38% 37% 8%
37 LIN Michael - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
38 KIM Brian 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
39 SONG Bryan - 4% 21% 38% 29% 7%
40 LYNCH Owen C. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
41 XIE Buster 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
42 WANG Brian 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
43 BING Charles - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
44 CHO Xzander 8% 42% 35% 12% 2% - -
45 XU Andy P. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
46 LINALDI Alberto - - - 12% 36% 38% 13%
47 TAHOUN Mostafa - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
48 KEE Andrew L. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
49 LIGOS Alex M. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
50 HU Robin - - 2% 29% 43% 22% 4%
51 STRAYER Andrew - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
52 LI Ayren 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
53 XU Ethan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
54 KONG Luculentus X. 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
55 LEVY Jacob 3% 22% 43% 25% 6% - -
56 WANG Mason - 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
57 DONG Richard 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
58 WANG Winston - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
59 SHENG Dalton 2% 18% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
60 TSAO Lukas 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
61 HOWARD Michael - 1% 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
62 MAO Lucas 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
63 SONG Noel - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
64 YE Gordon 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
65 WANG Rory 1% 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
66 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
67 PITERBARG Maxim 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
68 WU Dawei 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
69 HUANG Eythan - 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
70 YAO Bradley 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
71 LEE Eugene 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
72 LI Aaron 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
73 ORLOV Dmitriy 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
74 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
75 HUANG Jonathan 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
76 BAI Brian 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
77 PLASTARAS Trey - 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
78 MONTALBINE Aidan 8% 30% 38% 19% 5% - -
79 TAM Kyle 6% 49% 42% 3% - - -
79 SENANI Arjun 32% 46% 19% 3% - - -
81 TJON Calum 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
82 SURESH Rohan 40% 43% 14% 2% - -
83 MILLER Dillon 17% 43% 30% 9% 1% -
84 O'BRIEN Jack K. - < 1% 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
85 BONOMO Sebastian J. 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% - -
86 SUN Henry 3% 42% 48% 6% - - -
87 LEE Jason N. - 3% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
88 ARCE Andrew W. 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
88 TANG Terry 4% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
90 YU Stephen 27% 43% 24% 5% 1% - -
91 MURPHY Damian J. 26% 47% 23% 4% - - -
92 MUNDAHL Brandon 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
93 MONTERROSO Sebastian 80% 19% 1% - - - -
94 FINLEY Dylan 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
94 YAP Nathan 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
96 DEANS Donovan < 1% 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
96 POWELL Sean 62% 33% 5% - - - -
98 ABRAMKIN Tim 57% 36% 6% - - - -
98 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
100 DAUM Charlie 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
100 GAO Andrew 67% 29% 4% - - - -
102 TANG xianchi 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
103 ZHAO Adam 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
104 AMRANI David 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.