Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
2 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
3 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 52%
3 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
5 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
7 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
8 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
9 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
10 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 57% 16%
11 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
12 LIU Jinning 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
13 LU Royce 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
14 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
15 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
16 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
17 HE Xiangrui 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
18 TANG Albert 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 6%
19 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 6% -
20 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 60% 18%
21 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 13% 1%
22 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 9%
23 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
24 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
25 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
26 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 21%
27 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
28 FENG Michael 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
29 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 88% 41% 9% 1% - -
30 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 7%
31 GRIGORIEV Eduard 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22%
32 YANG Dylan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
33 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15% 1%
34 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
35 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% -
36 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
37 LIN Michael 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
38 KIM Brian 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
39 SONG Bryan 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
40 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
41 XIE Buster 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
42 WANG Brian 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2% -
43 BING Charles 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
44 CHO Xzander 100% 92% 50% 14% 2% - -
45 XU Andy P. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
46 LINALDI Alberto 100% 100% 100% 100% 88% 51% 13%
47 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
48 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
49 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7% -
50 HU Robin 100% 100% 100% 97% 68% 26% 4%
51 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
52 LI Ayren 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
53 XU Ethan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
54 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
55 LEVY Jacob 100% 97% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
56 WANG Mason 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
57 DONG Richard 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
58 WANG Winston 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
59 SHENG Dalton 100% 98% 80% 37% 9% 1% -
60 TSAO Lukas 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
61 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
62 MAO Lucas 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
63 SONG Noel 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
64 YE Gordon 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
65 WANG Rory 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
66 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
67 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
68 WU Dawei 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
69 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
70 YAO Bradley 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
71 LEE Eugene 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
72 LI Aaron 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
73 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
74 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
75 HUANG Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
76 BAI Brian 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
77 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
78 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
79 TAM Kyle 100% 94% 44% 3% - - -
79 SENANI Arjun 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
81 TJON Calum 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
82 SURESH Rohan 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
83 MILLER Dillon 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
84 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
85 BONOMO Sebastian J. 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% - -
86 SUN Henry 100% 97% 54% 6% - - -
87 LEE Jason N. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
88 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
88 TANG Terry 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
90 YU Stephen 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
91 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 74% 27% 4% - - -
92 MUNDAHL Brandon 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
93 MONTERROSO Sebastian 100% 20% 1% - - - -
94 FINLEY Dylan 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
94 YAP Nathan 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
96 DEANS Donovan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
96 POWELL Sean 100% 38% 5% - - - -
98 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 43% 7% - - - -
98 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
100 DAUM Charlie 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
100 GAO Andrew 100% 33% 4% - - - -
102 TANG xianchi 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
103 ZHAO Adam 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
104 AMRANI David 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.