Fairfax Challenge Winter RYC & RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, December 28, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Owings Mills, MD - Owings Mills, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TRAN Dai Long 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
2 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
3 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
3 KIM Donghyeok 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 27% 6%
5 HANXU Richard A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
6 LIU John 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
7 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
8 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
9 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
10 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
11 LU Sebastian X. 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
12 STUBBLEFIELD Alexander 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
13 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
14 PARK Prestan S. 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
15 ADLER Ethan M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
16 HERMANSON David B. 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
17 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
18 PLUMER Jack E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
19 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
20 STEVENS Daniel 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
21 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
22 WU Byron 100% 100% 95% 65% 24% 4%
23 PARK Vincent 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
24 WANG Tristan 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
25 LI Jeffrey 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
26 TRIMMER Colin 100% 96% 77% 46% 18% 4% -
27 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
28 KING Cameron 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
29 ZHANG Andrew 100% 98% 78% 37% 9% 1%
30 PICCUS Isaac S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
31 CHONG christopher 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
32 HORTELANO Ethan 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 20% 3%
33 KUTTRUS Max D. 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
34 BAGHA Armin 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
35 NOMANI Shibli D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
36 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
37 MUN Chur-Yong 100% 87% 42% 10% 1% -
38 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% -
39 YI Jason 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
40 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 73% 21% 3% - -
41 MILLER Kurt 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
42 FU Ethan 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% -
43 LEE JUNYOUNG 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
44 KANACH Duncan 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
45 CHOI Marcus 100% 34% 5% - - -
46 LAM Bill 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
47 HOPKINS Samuel 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
48 REITINGER Luke M. 100% 34% 5% - - -
48 KIM Ryan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
50 ZHANG Andy 100% 48% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.