National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Épée

Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
2 ZHAO Jonathan - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
3 WU Steven - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
3 DOUBOV Andrew - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
5 CANNON Caiden C. - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
6 BAILEY David - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
7 GOWDA Suyog 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
8 SIM Ian - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
9 MAROCHNIK Daniel - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
10 AYOTTE James - 4% 17% 31% 31% 14% 2%
11 BORATGIS Christopher J. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
12 PIASIO Jack E. - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
13 WRIGHT Shawn T. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 31% 7%
14 VILLAREAL Quentin - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
15 CHUNG Yeongbin - - - - 5% 29% 66%
16 MUENKE Magnus 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
17 AHMED Mohsen - 1% 5% 17% 33% 33% 13%
18 JENNINGS Adin - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
19 ZHANG James 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
20 RIM Eugene 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
21 CHUTKAY Pratham 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
22 NABAVI Matthew R. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
22 GILSBACH Ben - 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
24 WANG Kunqi 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
25 KELLEY Hayden 8% 25% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
26 THOMPSON Ian 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
27 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 2%
28 WAI Andreas - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
29 XIAN Andy - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
30 FAN Joshua 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
31 YIN Chujun 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
32 DOWD Peter L. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
33 CHU Brandon A. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
34 LAWLOR Lee 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% < 1%
35 CHRISTIAN John R. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
36 FAICCO Joseph - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
37 WU Johnny y. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
38 CHAKRABORTY Zorian - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
39 NGUYEN Grayson 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
40 GAO Victor 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
41 MALLON Jaxson - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
42 NOTT Kobi - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
42 HOWARD Jackson 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
44 CHAWLA Aarav 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
45 NAZARIAN Jonah - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
46 GUO Woody - 3% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
47 SMITH Troy H. - - 3% 17% 38% 35% 6%
48 YI Nathan 1% 10% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
49 WHITE Aidan 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
50 HELMY Richard - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
51 SUN Ethan - 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 2%
52 ZELIN Sam J. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
53 GREEN Logan 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
54 MOSKOWITZ Martin - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 1%
55 NILSEN Mark 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
56 DADE MAXIMUS 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
57 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
58 OLSON Kevin - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
59 SHULL Marc - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
60 BRANNON Nathan - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
61 GREEN Zachary J. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
62 GORMLEY Robert - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
63 SENECHAL Alexander 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
64 ELTERMAN Lev - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 8%
65 DOLLARHITE Tommy 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2%
66 LUR'YE Killian 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% < 1%
67 RODDENBERRY Steven 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
68 YU Samuel - 2% 12% 28% 35% 19% 2%
69 MATHES Caleb - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
70 HERTZOG Ben 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
71 PETERSEN Zachary 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
72 FERRELL-CARRETEY Elliot 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
73 WANG Charles 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
74 BHATT Arjun 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
75 SIEDOW William - - 1% 9% 32% 45% 13%
76 LEECH Braedan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
77 LI Tristan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
78 PALLADINO Ben T. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
79 CHEW Aedan 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
80 DILLON Anik - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12% 1%
80 MARENCIK Miles - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
82 SOZANSKI Kyle S. - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
82 REDEMANN Shawn - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
84 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
85 TURNER Joshua - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
86 PAN Anthony 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 5% -
87 HENSLEY Roran - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
87 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
89 BECK Eli - 4% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
90 ALI Adam 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
91 ZENG Andrew - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
92 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
93 COLÓN Atum 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
94 TENHUNDFELD Jack 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
95 BUCCELLATO Joel S. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
96 EVERETT Taiger - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
97 FREER Sean L. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
98 SEIKEL Spencer - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
99 PAINTER Noah 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
100 DONNELLY Enzo 1% 12% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
101 PAPP Mike - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
102 WORLEY Aren R. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
102 JOBE Connor - 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9%
104 KE Sebastian 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
105 CHALLAGULLA Manu - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
106 BRASSARD Calvin 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
107 CAMPBELL Paul - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
108 HUFFMASTER Mason 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
109 POHL Philip 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
110 NGUYEN Peyton 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
111 CALAY Robert J. 1% 13% 31% 33% 17% 5% -
111 SODHI Jaco - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
113 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% -
114 STEFANOV Michael A. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
115 ZHANG Michael 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
116 JONES Jackson 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
117 CARNALL Hunter 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
118 MILLSON Daniel - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
119 EVANS George 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
120 HERSH Benjamin - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
120 WEHMEYER Devin 3% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
122 DACHELET Sawyer 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
123 COLLINS Kaden 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
124 ISAACSON Calev 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
125 TOEWS Jackson 8% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
126 DWITYABASWARA Emil - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
127 CUI Franklin 4% 19% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
128 LEE Benjamin 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
129 VAUGHN David - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
130 REID Wesley 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
131 MASSE Dean 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
131 MORALES Diego - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
133 GREGORY Dean - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
134 GEIGER Devin T. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
135 PENG Gregory - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
136 STRACUZZI Hudson 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
137 WU Eric 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
138 ANDERSON Michael L. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
139 WONG David 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
140 COHEN Joshua 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% -
140 LIN Nathan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
142 HAYS Arthur 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
143 LI Jade 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
144 BURNHAM Mark 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
145 EMERSON Zachary 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
146 ZHAO Colin 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
147 WARD Kofi 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
148 TIFFANY Maxim - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
149 WANG Kaiyan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
150 DESAI Aadi 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
151 VENZON Roy 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
152 DEGENHARDT Zenji 14% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
153 HAMILTON Travis 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
154 FISCHER Maximilien 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
155 VENZON Gavin 2% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
156 SHIVELY Cole T. 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
156 CHARETTE Matt 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
158 ST CLAIR Soren 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
159 HUGHES Evan 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
160 MANITT Philip 2% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
161 BOZARTH Alex 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
162 MILLER Brent 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
163 COHEN Henry 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
164 MOULDING Hugh 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
165 ROBERTS Phoenix 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% -
166 WILLIAMS Charles 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
167 VANCE Wyatt 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
168 LI Ryan 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
169 ADAMS Mason 1% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
170 IGNATIK Piotr 1% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
171 TALLEY Blake 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
172 PATEL Aayan 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
173 TAHA Ray - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
173 SCIORRA Sante 75% 23% 3% - - - -
175 TU Jaden 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
176 ANDERSON Donald 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
177 GILES Donald R. 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
177 MILLER Hayden 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
177 WILSON Trevor 58% 34% 8% 1% - - -
180 LAWRENCE Brady 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
181 SANKEY Luka - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
182 MASSE Jack - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
182 LI Jaden 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
182 LEE Henry 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
185 PATEL Krish 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
186 OTTAVIANO Aaron 29% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
187 YANG Kayden 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
188 APANASEWICZ Dan 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
189 WHITE Jacob 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
190 WARD Carrington R. 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
191 DONG Joshua 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
192 MALLON Scooter 18% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
193 ARZT Nicholas 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
193 STAUBITZ Marc 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
195 GREEN Scott D. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
195 MBERIA Alexander 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
197 KORMANN Joseph 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
198 FRANK William N. 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
199 GARRISON Shawn 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% - -
200 CANNON Casey C. 34% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
201 SCHWITZER Eliot 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
202 WELLING Cohen 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.