National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Épée

Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
2 ZHAO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
3 WU Steven 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
3 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
5 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
6 BAILEY David 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
7 GOWDA Suyog 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
8 SIM Ian 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
9 MAROCHNIK Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
10 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 2%
11 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
12 PIASIO Jack E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
13 WRIGHT Shawn T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
14 VILLAREAL Quentin 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 11%
15 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
16 MUENKE Magnus 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
17 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
18 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
19 ZHANG James 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2%
20 RIM Eugene 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
21 CHUTKAY Pratham 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
22 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
22 GILSBACH Ben 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
24 WANG Kunqi 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
25 KELLEY Hayden 100% 92% 67% 33% 11% 2% -
26 THOMPSON Ian 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 1%
27 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 2%
28 WAI Andreas 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
29 XIAN Andy 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
30 FAN Joshua 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
31 YIN Chujun 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
32 DOWD Peter L. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
33 CHU Brandon A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
34 LAWLOR Lee 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% < 1%
35 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
36 FAICCO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
37 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 2%
38 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
39 NGUYEN Grayson 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
40 GAO Victor 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
41 MALLON Jaxson 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 6%
42 NOTT Kobi 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
42 HOWARD Jackson 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
44 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
45 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
46 GUO Woody 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
47 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 6%
48 YI Nathan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
49 WHITE Aidan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
50 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
51 SUN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 2%
52 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
53 GREEN Logan 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
54 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
55 NILSEN Mark 100% 99% 88% 62% 27% 6% -
56 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
57 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
58 OLSON Kevin 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
59 SHULL Marc 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
60 BRANNON Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
61 GREEN Zachary J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
62 GORMLEY Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
63 SENECHAL Alexander 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
64 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
65 DOLLARHITE Tommy 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
66 LUR'YE Killian 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% < 1%
67 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
68 YU Samuel 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 2%
69 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
70 HERTZOG Ben 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
71 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
72 FERRELL-CARRETEY Elliot 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5%
73 WANG Charles 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
74 BHATT Arjun 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
75 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 13%
76 LEECH Braedan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
77 LI Tristan 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
78 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
79 CHEW Aedan 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
80 DILLON Anik 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12% 1%
80 MARENCIK Miles 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 2%
82 SOZANSKI Kyle S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
82 REDEMANN Shawn 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
84 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
85 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
86 PAN Anthony 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
87 HENSLEY Roran 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
87 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
89 BECK Eli 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 16% 2%
90 ALI Adam 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
91 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
92 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 2%
93 COLÓN Atum 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
94 TENHUNDFELD Jack 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
95 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
96 EVERETT Taiger 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
97 FREER Sean L. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
98 SEIKEL Spencer 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
99 PAINTER Noah 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2%
100 DONNELLY Enzo 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
101 PAPP Mike 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
102 WORLEY Aren R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
102 JOBE Connor 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
104 KE Sebastian 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
105 CHALLAGULLA Manu 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
106 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
107 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
108 HUFFMASTER Mason 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 4% -
109 POHL Philip 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
110 NGUYEN Peyton 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
111 CALAY Robert J. 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
111 SODHI Jaco 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
113 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
114 STEFANOV Michael A. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
115 ZHANG Michael 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
116 JONES Jackson 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2%
117 CARNALL Hunter 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
118 MILLSON Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
119 EVANS George 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
120 HERSH Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
120 WEHMEYER Devin 100% 97% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
122 DACHELET Sawyer 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
123 COLLINS Kaden 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
124 ISAACSON Calev 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
125 TOEWS Jackson 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
126 DWITYABASWARA Emil 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
127 CUI Franklin 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
128 LEE Benjamin 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
129 VAUGHN David 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
130 REID Wesley 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
131 MASSE Dean 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
131 MORALES Diego 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 3%
133 GREGORY Dean 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
134 GEIGER Devin T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
135 PENG Gregory 100% 100% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
136 STRACUZZI Hudson 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
137 WU Eric 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
138 ANDERSON Michael L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
139 WONG David 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
140 COHEN Joshua 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
140 LIN Nathan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
142 HAYS Arthur 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
143 LI Jade 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
144 BURNHAM Mark 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2%
145 EMERSON Zachary 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
146 ZHAO Colin 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
147 WARD Kofi 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
148 TIFFANY Maxim 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
149 WANG Kaiyan 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
150 DESAI Aadi 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
151 VENZON Roy 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
152 DEGENHARDT Zenji 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
153 HAMILTON Travis 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
154 FISCHER Maximilien 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
155 VENZON Gavin 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
156 SHIVELY Cole T. 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
156 CHARETTE Matt 100% 98% 88% 64% 32% 9% 1%
158 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
159 HUGHES Evan 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
160 MANITT Philip 100% 98% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
161 BOZARTH Alex 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
162 MILLER Brent 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
163 COHEN Henry 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
164 MOULDING Hugh 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
165 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
166 WILLIAMS Charles 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
167 VANCE Wyatt 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
168 LI Ryan 100% 88% 52% 19% 4% - -
169 ADAMS Mason 100% 99% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
170 IGNATIK Piotr 100% 99% 87% 57% 25% 6% 1%
171 TALLEY Blake 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
172 PATEL Aayan 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
173 TAHA Ray 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
173 SCIORRA Sante 100% 25% 3% - - - -
175 TU Jaden 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
176 ANDERSON Donald 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
177 GILES Donald R. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
177 MILLER Hayden 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
177 WILSON Trevor 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -
180 LAWRENCE Brady 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1% -
181 SANKEY Luka 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
182 MASSE Jack 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 2%
182 LI Jaden 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
182 LEE Henry 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
185 PATEL Krish 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
186 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 71% 30% 8% 1% - -
187 YANG Kayden 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
188 APANASEWICZ Dan 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
189 WHITE Jacob 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
190 WARD Carrington R. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
191 DONG Joshua 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2%
192 MALLON Scooter 100% 82% 46% 15% 3% -
193 ARZT Nicholas 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
193 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
195 GREEN Scott D. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
195 MBERIA Alexander 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
197 KORMANN Joseph 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
198 FRANK William N. 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
199 GARRISON Shawn 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% - -
200 CANNON Casey C. 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
201 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
202 WELLING Cohen 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.