Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, September 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
2 WICAS Graham E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
3 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 43%
3 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 30%
5 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
6 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
7 ROUBAILO Niels 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
8 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
9 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
10 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
11 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
12 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
12 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
14 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
15 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
16 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
17 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
18 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
19 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
20 LAI Boden 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
21 WONG Maximus 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
22 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
23 XIA Dashan 100% 97% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
24 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13% 1%
25 SONG Troy 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 10% 1%
26 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
27 MEN Junda 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% - -
28 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
29 CHOI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31% 5%
30 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
31 LEE Aiden 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
32 GOON Sin Tong 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
33 MATTIS George 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
34 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
35 TSE Maxwell 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 2% -
36 SHA Michael 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
37 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
38 BOUDREAUX James 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 8%
39 ZENG Andrew 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
40 CHEN YiHeng 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
41 OH Kevin Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
41 HEADRICK Jack 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
43 PIASIO Jack E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
44 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
45 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
46 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% - -
47 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
48 SONG Changze 100% 71% 26% 4% -
49 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
50 WATRALL Rick 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 24%
51 LIU Adam 100% 99% 86% 50% 12% 1% -
52 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
53 REPIC Oliver 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
54 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
55 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 9%
56 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 98% 82% 35%
57 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
58 LEE Aiden 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
59 WONG King-Yee 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2%
60 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
61 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 10% 1%
62 KARIMOV Amir 100% 91% 56% 16% 2%
63 DOWD Peter L. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
64 CHU Brandon A. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
65 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
66 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 6%
67 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
68 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
69 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
70 FAICCO Joseph 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
71 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
72 WANG Tony 100% 95% 61% 20% 2% - -
73 XIE Andrew J. 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
74 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
75 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1%
76 AYALA Jaime 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
77 SUN Lucas 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% - -
78 RIM Eugene 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
79 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
80 RVACHEV Michael 100% 77% 29% 4% - - -
81 ANAFI Ari 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
82 YU Samuel 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
83 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
84 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
85 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 80% 36% 7% -
86 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2%
87 CHEN Luowen 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% - -
88 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
89 PAN Anthony 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
89 DUKO Phillip 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
91 GU Eric 100% 30% 4% - - - -
92 FLINT James E. 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
93 XIE Brandon 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
93 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
95 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 93% 51% 14% 2% - -
96 ROIZ Leif 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% - -
96 DAGLI Sai 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
98 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
99 NILSEN Mark 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
100 LENAR David 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
101 TINAWI Luay 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.