Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, September 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEZRODNOV Michael - - - 2% 17% 45% 35%
2 WICAS Graham E. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
3 JONES Simon A. - - - 1% 11% 45% 43%
3 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - 2% 17% 52% 30%
5 SVERDLOV Seth - 4% 22% 47% 27%
6 WOLFE Alex - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
7 ROUBAILO Niels - - 1% 7% 26% 45% 22%
8 SU Caleb - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
9 SAVORETTI Francesco - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
10 ZUCKER Noah L. - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
11 WU Jonathan - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 14%
12 KNOX James - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
12 DOYON - VERDON William - - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
14 CAUCHY Eliot 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
15 IVAKIMOV Vasil - - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
16 KYPRAIOS Nicholas - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
17 HU Robert J. - 4% 21% 39% 29% 8% 1%
18 PARK Nicholas - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
19 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
20 LAI Boden - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
21 WONG Maximus 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
22 KOEPPEL Levi E. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
23 XIA Dashan 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
24 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - 2% 12% 35% 37% 12% 1%
25 SONG Troy - 3% 18% 38% 30% 9% 1%
26 HONDOR Robert D. - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
27 MEN Junda 5% 28% 41% 22% 4% - -
28 DOUBOV Andrew 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
29 CHOI Isaac - - 4% 21% 45% 26% 5%
30 CAI Brian - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 11%
31 LEE Aiden 10% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
32 GOON Sin Tong 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
33 MATTIS George - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
34 TRAN Spencer - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
35 TSE Maxwell 1% 9% 31% 41% 16% 2% -
36 SHA Michael 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
37 NORMILE Nicholas 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
38 BOUDREAUX James 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
39 ZENG Andrew 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
40 CHEN YiHeng 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
41 OH Kevin Y. - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
41 HEADRICK Jack 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
43 PIASIO Jack E. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
44 ZHANG William - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
45 RATUSHNYI Georgii 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
46 SAVORETTI Pietro 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% - -
47 SMITH Troy H. - 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
48 SONG Changze 29% 46% 22% 3% -
49 GOON Tristan Yang 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
50 WATRALL Rick - - - 4% 24% 48% 24%
51 LIU Adam 1% 12% 36% 38% 11% 1% -
52 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
53 REPIC Oliver - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
54 MACARTY Jordan T. - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
55 MAO Benjamin - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
56 BARREIRO Darren - 2% 16% 46% 35%
57 O'HARROW Tristan C. 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
58 LEE Aiden 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
59 WONG King-Yee 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
60 BEALS Alden - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
61 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
62 KARIMOV Amir 9% 35% 41% 14% 2%
63 DOWD Peter L. 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
64 CHU Brandon A. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
65 BORATGIS Christopher J. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
66 LAI Aedin - 5% 21% 38% 30% 6%
67 JENNINGS Adin - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
68 CHEN Jun Ho - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
69 HEADRICK Lance - - 4% 17% 35% 34% 11%
70 FAICCO Joseph 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
71 KRISHNAN Skanda 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
72 WANG Tony 5% 33% 42% 17% 2% - -
73 XIE Andrew J. 13% 39% 35% 11% 2% - -
74 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
75 LIU Jeremiah W. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
76 AYALA Jaime 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
77 SUN Lucas 6% 32% 38% 19% 5% - -
78 RIM Eugene 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
79 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas 7% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
80 RVACHEV Michael 23% 48% 24% 4% - - -
81 ANAFI Ari 11% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
82 YU Samuel 11% 36% 37% 13% 2% - -
83 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
84 COHEN Jared E. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
85 STELTENKAMP Neal 20% 44% 29% 6% -
86 PALLADINO Ben T. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2%
87 CHEN Luowen 5% 29% 42% 20% 3% - -
88 WANG-SONG Evan 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
89 PAN Anthony 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
89 DUKO Phillip 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
91 GU Eric 70% 27% 3% - - - -
92 FLINT James E. 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
93 XIE Brandon 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
93 BUSH Thomas < 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
95 HE Lingyun Matthew 7% 42% 37% 12% 2% - -
96 ROIZ Leif 13% 35% 35% 15% 2% - -
96 DAGLI Sai 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
98 MCDONNELL Nathaniel < 1% 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
99 NILSEN Mark 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
100 LENAR David 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
101 TINAWI Luay 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.