The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 21, 2019 at 8:30 AM

Round Rock, TX - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Richard - - - - 2% 24% 74%
2 LO Conrad - - - - 2% 21% 78%
3 JAIN Aditya - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
3 CANLAS Nathan - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
5 TANG Owen S. - - - 5% 28% 56% 11%
6 WU Alexander - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
7 WONG Garrick G. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
8 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
9 LI Matthew 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 13% 3%
10 YANG Luao - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
11 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - - 2% 24% 74%
12 LEE Jacob J - 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
13 HOSKERI Anik S. - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
14 WECHSLER Jacob 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
14 LIN Michael - 1% 8% 28% 44% 18% 1%
16 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
17 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
18 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - 1% 10% 37% 45% 6%
19 REEVES Liam - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
20 LLIDO Soren - 5% 21% 39% 28% 6% -
21 LIU Michael H. - 3% 15% 36% 37% 9%
22 WOO Christian - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
23 JIANG Owen - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 6%
24 STEVENS Paul S. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
25 XU Andy P. - - 1% 8% 33% 49% 9%
26 CHOI Ethan - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
27 BARRETT Austin 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
28 OH Jaden 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
29 ZHOU Joseph H. - 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
30 MA Andrew 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
31 LI Chenglang Ryan 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
32 KIM Brian 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
33 KLOTZ Isaiah - 6% 31% 41% 19% 2% -
34 SENIC Lucas - 3% 26% 44% 24% 3% -
35 MORROW Brenden 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3% -
36 ANDRIC Borna 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% - -
37 FUKUDA Diego - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
38 TUAN Evan 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
39 LI Jett 2% 16% 39% 33% 10% 1%
40 FANG Jaden 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
41 TAN Aidan 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
42 CHEW Aaron 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
43 ZHANG Luke 47% 45% 8% - - - -
44 CHU Colin 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
45 WANG Brayden 21% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
46 KIM Minhyeok - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
47 KIM Ryan Y. 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
48 HUANG Eythan 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
49 THOMSON Champa 18% 45% 29% 7% 1% -
50 CHEN Junxuan 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
51 CHOI Benjamin 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
52 DERRICK Blake 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
53 MA Bryant 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2% -
54 JIANG Raymond 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
55 LO Preston - 2% 17% 41% 33% 6% -
56 VEDRE-KYANAM KABIR BAIG Aaradhya 1% 12% 33% 38% 14% 2% -
57 OROPEZA david 4% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
58 FOUILLET Elliot 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
59 SRINIVASAN Vedant 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
60 TSAY Jordan R. 15% 47% 30% 8% 1% - -
61 STRINGFELLOW Cameron C. 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
62 MANIKTALA Suvir 48% 41% 10% 1% - -
62 SHARMA Rohan 12% 38% 36% 12% 1% -
64 KREINIK Kai 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
65 TOMPSON George 30% 51% 17% 2% - - -
66 HERNANDEZ CHEN Kyan R. 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.