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The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 21, 2019 at 8:30 AM

Round Rock, TX - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
2 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
3 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
5 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 11%
6 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
7 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
8 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
9 LI Matthew 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 3%
10 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
11 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
12 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
13 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
14 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
14 LIN Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19% 1%
16 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
17 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
18 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 6%
19 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
20 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6% -
21 LIU Michael H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 9%
22 WOO Christian 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 9%
23 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 6%
24 STEVENS Paul S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
25 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 9%
26 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
27 BARRETT Austin 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
28 OH Jaden 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1%
29 ZHOU Joseph H. 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
30 MA Andrew 100% 99% 91% 59% 21% 3%
31 LI Chenglang Ryan 100% 99% 91% 68% 37% 12% 2%
32 KIM Brian 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 3% -
33 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 94% 62% 21% 2% -
34 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 97% 71% 27% 3% -
35 MORROW Brenden 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3% -
36 ANDRIC Borna 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
37 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
38 TUAN Evan 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
39 LI Jett 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1%
40 FANG Jaden 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
41 TAN Aidan 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
42 CHEW Aaron 100% 91% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
43 ZHANG Luke 100% 53% 8% 1% - - -
44 CHU Colin 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
45 WANG Brayden 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
46 KIM Minhyeok 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
47 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
48 HUANG Eythan 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
49 THOMSON Champa 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% -
50 CHEN Junxuan 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
51 CHOI Benjamin 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
52 DERRICK Blake 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
53 MA Bryant 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2% -
54 JIANG Raymond 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
55 LO Preston 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 7% -
56 VEDRE-KYANAM KABIR BAIG Aaradhya 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2% -
57 OROPEZA david 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
58 FOUILLET Elliot 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
59 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
60 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 85% 38% 9% 1% - -
61 STRINGFELLOW Cameron C. 100% 92% 65% 32% 9% 2% -
62 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 52% 11% 1% - -
62 SHARMA Rohan 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% -
64 KREINIK Kai 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -
65 TOMPSON George 100% 70% 19% 2% - - -
66 HERNANDEZ CHEN Kyan R. 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.