Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James - - - - 1% 12% 88%
2 LEE Aiden - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
3 KIM Henry - - - 2% 16% 44% 37%
3 DONG Haiyi - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
5 MEHROTRA Neel - - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
6 LIU Adam - - - - 5% 31% 64%
7 CHA Patrick - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
8 LI Tristan - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
9 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
10 MIDYANY Evan - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
11 DODIN Daniel M. - - 2% 15% 37% 34% 10%
12 SOLARZ Arthur - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
13 HELMY Richard - 1% 6% 21% 34% 29% 9%
14 VYSOTSKIY Evan - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
15 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 7%
16 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
17 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
17 KIM Gene - - 1% 8% 31% 45% 15%
19 HE Yurui - 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 7%
20 LEE Anton - - 1% 10% 40% 41% 8%
21 NORMILE Nicholas - - - - 5% 33% 62%
22 SINGLETON Aman - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
23 MOORE Alexander - 2% 9% 25% 36% 24% 4%
24 ZHANG Albert - - 1% 6% 27% 45% 22%
25 AHMED Mohsen - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
26 KABA Elias - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 15%
27 HEADRICK Jack - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
28 HERNDON Liam - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
29 LEE DoWon - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
30 RAMEY Daylon 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
31 WU MiEr 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
32 CHEN Tianjun - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
33 TRAN Spencer - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
34 LIDSKY Phineas - - - 3% 19% 46% 31%
35 BORISENKO Samuel - - 1% 7% 26% 46% 20%
36 CHEN Jayden - - 1% 11% 37% 40% 11%
37 KIM Julian - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
38 YI Nathan - - - 5% 23% 46% 26%
39 YANG Gary - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
40 KIM Remington - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 6%
41 MOU Jaydon - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 1%
42 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
43 KATS Brandon - 1% 9% 30% 40% 17% 2%
44 PENG Yue - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
45 HENNESSY Levon - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
46 WANG-SONG Evan - - 1% 12% 43% 37% 6%
47 ARMSTRONG TyLee - - - 6% 27% 46% 21%
48 HSU Joshua - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
49 LUO Alexander - - 2% 14% 38% 38% 7%
50 CHANEY Charles - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
51 ROBERTS Phoenix - 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
52 KROPP Wesley - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
52 MEDISETTI Arjun 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
52 CHEN Ryan - - 1% 10% 35% 40% 13%
55 CHO Alex - - 3% 19% 40% 30% 7%
56 SZCZAPA Lukas - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 3%
57 WANG Jiacheng - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
58 PETERS Keane 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
59 CHEN Isaac Zhi - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
60 ZHENG Jason 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
61 VAN JAARSVELD Leo - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
62 DELONG Joshua - 1% 6% 25% 41% 23% 4%
62 GATEWOOD Michael 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% -
64 ALPSOY Emir 1% 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
65 WANG Marcus - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
66 MIDYANY Ryan - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
67 CHANG Matthew - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
68 BAGDONAS Olivier - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
69 SONG Aidan - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
70 RODOCANACHI Hector - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
71 TSIEN Richard - 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2%
72 CAFASSO Alexander - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
72 MOSTOVOY philip - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
74 GOVOROV Alexander - 4% 17% 34% 32% 13% 1%
75 WANG Marcus 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
76 FRIZZELL Kai 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
77 LIN ZIJIE - 2% 14% 39% 34% 10% 1%
78 QU RuiTing 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
79 KIM Doyun 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
80 KONG Ethan 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
81 TANG Michael - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
82 WILKERSON Tobias 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
83 KONG Brandon - 3% 16% 36% 35% 11%
84 ADDYSON Aidan 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
85 ZHANG Austin - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
86 GOODMAN Liam 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% -
87 JIANG Harry 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
88 TOWNSHEND Connor - 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
89 BO Genero - 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
89 FENG Xinmin 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
91 ZHU Yiming - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
92 SOLOMON Aryeh 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 8% -
93 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
94 HURLEY Michael 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% - -
95 KIM Leejay - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
96 HANNA Alexander 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1% -
97 YAO Ryan - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
98 NOOL Alexander - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
98 NG Nico 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
100 WHITE Jackson 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 8% -
100 MIKHAIL Lucas - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
102 OLSON Joseph - 5% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
102 PUTHOFF Henry 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
104 SHAFFER Tyler - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
105 KHERSONSKY Robert 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
105 YAZDANFAR Marius - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
107 YAKHNIS Seth 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
107 CHO Adrian 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
109 MANSFIELD Hunter - 6% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
110 YAO Tristan 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
111 NOOL Aaron 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
112 BIERL Asa 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
113 TUMULA Arihaan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
114 MA Joseph 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
115 HERDMAN Julian - 1% 8% 25% 38% 23% 5%
115 DANG William - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
117 CHEN Cameron 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
118 KARLEKAR Veer 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
119 ROBERTS Arthur 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
120 FOGEL Jake 3% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
121 AU Joshua 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
122 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
123 DING Max 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
124 KIM Louie 25% 47% 23% 5% - - -
125 MA Nolan - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
126 BORAN Brooks 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
127 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% -
128 FEELY Benjamin 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
129 CHEN Jayden 22% 45% 27% 6% 1% - -
130 CHEN Evan - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
131 LIU Austin 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3% -
132 KHAVKIN Alexander 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
133 TOPRANI Valmik 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
134 GAO Ryan 26% 47% 23% 5% - - -
135 YU Jeremy 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
136 PENG Ethan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
137 YU David 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
138 HANTOV Adrian 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
139 ROBINSON Blake 25% 48% 23% 4% - - -
140 LAI Jayden 4% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
141 BAYUS Oliver 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
142 GRIGGS Kaiden 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
142 TANG Daniel 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
144 SMITH Theo 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
145 HEADRICK Liam 3% 15% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
146 ZINCHUK Yuri 4% 22% 40% 28% 6% - -
147 KICIMAN Leo 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 1%
148 HUANG Max 19% 44% 28% 8% 1% -
149 HONG Ethen 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
150 NAM Nathaniel 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
151 STRAFFORD Andrew 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
152 PATEL Tej 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
153 ZHAN ETHAN 5% 30% 40% 20% 5% - -
154 BOBORIS Dimitrios 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
155 HAGERMAN Mark 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
156 CHIANG William 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
157 WU Jiachen 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
158 CHEN Daniel 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
158 KUYKENDALL Lucas 79% 19% 2% - - - -
160 WILLIAMS Gavin 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
160 KICIMAN Louis 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
160 LOPATIN Sergei 39% 45% 14% 2% - - -
163 LEE Harrison - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
164 WELCH Sebastian 35% 50% 14% 2% - - -
165 DING Charlie 9% 38% 37% 14% 2% - -
166 KO Ethan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
166 YU Jonathan 14% 38% 34% 12% 1% - -
168 ZHAO Brandon 9% 34% 38% 16% 3% - -
169 BURT Jonathan Parker 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
170 LEE Ryan 38% 48% 13% 1% - - -
171 ARMSTRONG Payson 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
171 POLAGANI Krishiv 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
173 SLAVIN Tamir 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
174 BERARDINI Matteo 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
175 GRANT Aidan 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
176 MILLER Balthazar 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
177 YAO Aiden 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
178 LANE Sawyer 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
179 QI Bryan 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
180 YOON Jonathan 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
180 SHI Peyton 36% 46% 15% 2% - - -
182 MILLER Xavier 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% - -
182 PARY Jean Pierre 3% 20% 44% 27% 6% 1% -
182 OH Ted 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% - -
185 KRAVCHENKO Philip 35% 45% 17% 3% - - -
186 SIN William 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
187 KUYKENDALL Logan 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
188 PAYE Adam Trevor 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.