Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
2 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
3 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
5 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
6 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
7 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
8 LI Tristan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
9 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
10 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
11 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
12 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
13 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
14 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
15 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
16 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
17 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
17 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
19 HE Yurui 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 7%
20 LEE Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49% 8%
21 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
22 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
23 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 4%
24 ZHANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 22%
25 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
26 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
27 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
28 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
29 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
30 RAMEY Daylon 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
31 WU MiEr 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
32 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
33 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
34 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
35 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
36 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 11%
37 KIM Julian 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
38 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
39 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
40 KIM Remington 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
41 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 1%
42 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5% -
43 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
44 PENG Yue 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
45 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
46 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 43% 6%
47 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
48 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
49 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 7%
50 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
51 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
52 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
52 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
52 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
55 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 7%
56 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
57 WANG Jiacheng 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
58 PETERS Keane 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
59 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
60 ZHENG Jason 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
61 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
62 DELONG Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 4%
62 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
64 ALPSOY Emir 100% 99% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
65 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
66 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
67 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
68 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
69 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
70 RODOCANACHI Hector 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
71 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
72 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
72 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
74 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
75 WANG Marcus 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
76 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 4% -
77 LIN ZIJIE 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 11% 1%
78 QU RuiTing 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
79 KIM Doyun 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 3% -
80 KONG Ethan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
81 TANG Michael 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
82 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
83 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
84 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
85 ZHANG Austin 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
86 GOODMAN Liam 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
87 JIANG Harry 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
88 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
89 BO Genero 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
89 FENG Xinmin 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
91 ZHU Yiming 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
92 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% -
93 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
94 HURLEY Michael 100% 89% 55% 17% 2% - -
95 KIM Leejay 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
96 HANNA Alexander 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
97 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
98 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
98 NG Nico 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
100 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% -
100 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
102 OLSON Joseph 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
102 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
104 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
105 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
105 YAZDANFAR Marius 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
107 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
107 CHO Adrian 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
109 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
110 YAO Tristan 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
111 NOOL Aaron 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
112 BIERL Asa 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
113 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
114 MA Joseph 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -
115 HERDMAN Julian 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
115 DANG William 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
117 CHEN Cameron 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
118 KARLEKAR Veer 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
119 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
120 FOGEL Jake 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
121 AU Joshua 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
122 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 97% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
123 DING Max 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2% -
124 KIM Louie 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
125 MA Nolan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% 1%
126 BORAN Brooks 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
127 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
128 FEELY Benjamin 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
129 CHEN Jayden 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
130 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
131 LIU Austin 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3% -
132 KHAVKIN Alexander 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
133 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
134 GAO Ryan 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
135 YU Jeremy 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% - -
136 PENG Ethan 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
137 YU David 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
138 HANTOV Adrian 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
139 ROBINSON Blake 100% 75% 26% 4% - - -
140 LAI Jayden 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
141 BAYUS Oliver 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
142 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
142 TANG Daniel 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
144 SMITH Theo 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% - -
145 HEADRICK Liam 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
146 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 96% 74% 34% 6% - -
147 KICIMAN Leo 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
148 HUANG Max 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% -
149 HONG Ethen 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
150 NAM Nathaniel 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 5% -
151 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
152 PATEL Tej 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
153 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% - -
154 BOBORIS Dimitrios 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
155 HAGERMAN Mark 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
156 CHIANG William 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
157 WU Jiachen 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
158 CHEN Daniel 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
158 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 21% 2% - - - -
160 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
160 KICIMAN Louis 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
160 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
163 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% 1%
164 WELCH Sebastian 100% 65% 15% 2% - - -
165 DING Charlie 100% 91% 52% 16% 2% - -
166 KO Ethan 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
166 YU Jonathan 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% - -
168 ZHAO Brandon 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% - -
169 BURT Jonathan Parker 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
170 LEE Ryan 100% 62% 14% 1% - - -
171 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
171 POLAGANI Krishiv 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
173 SLAVIN Tamir 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
174 BERARDINI Matteo 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
175 GRANT Aidan 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
176 MILLER Balthazar 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
177 YAO Aiden 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
178 LANE Sawyer 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
179 QI Bryan 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
180 YOON Jonathan 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
180 SHI Peyton 100% 63% 17% 2% - - -
182 MILLER Xavier 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
182 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 97% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
182 OH Ted 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% - -
185 KRAVCHENKO Philip 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
186 SIN William 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
187 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
188 PAYE Adam Trevor 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.