Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 8:00 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
2 LESPERANCE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 DYER Ian E. 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2%
3 HERMANSON David B. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1%
5 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
6 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
7 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
8 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
9 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
10 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 25%
11 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
12 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
13 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
14 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
15 EKE Frank 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
16 PIERANUNZI IV Wills 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 40% 10%
17 GALLANT Antoine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
18 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
19 WU Joseph 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
20 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
21 HA Daniel 100% 98% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
22 MORTON William 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% - -
23 BAZURO Andrew 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
24 SMEDLEY Drew N. 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
25 DOTSON Gus 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
26 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
26 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
28 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
29 LAI Coby 100% 97% 71% 31% 7% 1%
30 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13% 1%
31 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
32 SKIFFINGTON Sam 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
33 HANRATTY Liam 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 1%
34 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 4%
35 KARAMANIAN Nicholas 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% 1%
36 GROSSMAN August 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3%
37 PRIHODKO Max 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2% -
38 COTAJ Andrew 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
39 STEVENS George 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
40 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
41 WIEDERHORN ethan 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
42 GAO Daniel 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% - -
43 REINEKE Alexander 100% 89% 51% 12% 1% -
44 BRUNNER Dylan J. 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
45 MATEI Daniel 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 2%
46 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 87% 41% 9% 1% -
47 HERBERT Harrison 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
48 FERREIRA Noah J. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
49 CONNELLY Asa D. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
50 PAGE Duncan 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% - -
51 BARSEMIAN Alexander 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
52 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
53 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
54 AMELOT Alexander 100% 34% 5% - - - -
55 ZHANG William 100% 45% 8% 1% - -
55 STALL-RYAN Jonathan 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
57 STEWART Charlie 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
58 CONNORS Jacob 100% 32% 4% - - -
59 GIRARDI Brian 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.