The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
Maria Panyi (1), Andrey Geva (2), Igor Chirashnya (3), and Sue Moheb (4).

Capitol Clash SYC & RCC with Non-Regional Veteran and Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, February 2, 2019 at 2:00 PM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - 3% 15% 38% 37% 6%
2 VOZOVIK Zakhar - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
3 RINEHART Conner M. 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
3 WANG Kevin de-tai - - 4% 16% 34% 35% 12%
5 O'HARA Keegan J. - 1% 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
6 ZHANG YuJian - - - 3% 21% 46% 30%
7 RONG Yao - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
8 TIAN Kevin 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
9 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - - 1% 8% 32% 43% 16%
10 PAVLENISHVILI David G. - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
11 LIU Kyle - - 6% 26% 41% 23% 4%
12 TOWNSEND Avery S. - - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
13 YOON Nathan - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
14 LIU John - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
16 SILVERS Noah E. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
17 KIM Juni C. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
18 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
19 SHI Edric - - 2% 12% 36% 42% 8%
20 GUO Joe - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
21 THAYER Bryce - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
22 RHYU Kozmo - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
23 GOLDFINE Ian J. - - 2% 14% 36% 38% 11%
24 LEE Timothy S. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
25 HENSAL Nicolas A. - - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
26 CHEN Eric Y. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
27 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
28 CHAWLA Armaan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
29 DIB Aaniss 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
30 GARCIA-ROGERS Kyle J. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
31 HANRATTY Liam 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
32 TUCKER Henry M. 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
33 ADLER Ethan M. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% < 1%
34 NOMANI Shibli D. - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
35 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
36 BARTCH Ethan L. 10% 28% 34% 20% 7% 1% -
37 KROPP Jack 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
38 SHAH S Ayush - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
39 LEE Daniel Y. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
40 LIU Frank 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
41 WIMMER Chandler M. - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
42 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 2%
43 GLECKNER Aidan 1% 14% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
44 KUTTRUS Max D. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
45 FELDMAN Jaemin - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
46 CONNELLY Asa D. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
47 PICCUS Isaac S. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
48 JEYOON Ryan S. - 1% 7% 30% 41% 19% 3%
49 SOOMRO Adam A. - 1% 11% 39% 36% 12% 1%
50 LEE Shwan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
51 SHAH Maximilian A. 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
52 TROAKE Henry R. - 2% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
53 GOLDER Will W. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
54 JUSCINSKI Michal - 5% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
55 MORSE Tyler - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
56 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
57 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% 1%
57 DYER Ian E. - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
59 BENDER Rhys T. 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
60 TRIMMER Colin 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
61 KOBI Samuel 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
62 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
63 KIM Edward J. - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
64 STUBBLEFIELD Evan 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
65 ELFEN Nicholas R. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
66 HERMANSON David B. 7% 24% 34% 24% 10% 2% -
67 HODGE Jaydon L. 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
68 ROY NATHAN J 5% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
69 REICHBACH Solomon - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
70 CAUTHEN Edwin 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
71 MITCHUM Drew J - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7%
72 LIU Kevin X. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
73 PANTEL Derek F. 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
74 DIXON Thomas 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
75 RODRIGUEZ Ryan - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13% 2%
76 ZHANG Andrew 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
77 BAGHA Armin - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
78 LU Sebastian X. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
79 LONCAR Luka E. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
80 WU Jason 1% 7% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
80 MISHIMA Torata 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
82 KING Cameron - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
83 BUYANOV Nikita V. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
84 NOZEA Gabriel 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 1% -
84 SHAPIRO Samuel 8% 42% 36% 12% 2% - -
86 PINERO Jose J. 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
87 ALGER Stan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
87 STEVENS Daniel 7% 32% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
89 KOLOCIN John 18% 47% 31% 4% - - -
90 NESTEROV Andrew E. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
91 LI Benjamin 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
92 GALLANT Antoine 16% 47% 30% 7% 1% - -
93 RAWSON Nicholas 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
94 DIECK Logan O. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
95 DENNIS Ethan 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
96 BOLE Samuel B. 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
97 DIVERIS Joseph 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
98 FU Ethan 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
99 GEHRKE Nate 4% 26% 49% 19% 3% - -
100 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
101 SALISBURY Cary 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
102 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
103 REITINGER Luke M. 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
104 CAMACHO Miguel 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
104 LESSER Jeremy 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
106 KANACH Duncan 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
107 BOYKO Ryker 46% 42% 11% 1% - - -
108 BLUM Oliver 26% 43% 25% 6% - - -
108 CHEN Zhong Han 68% 28% 4% - - - -
110 BORAK Samuel 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
111 CHOU Ryan 40% 46% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.