American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORMILE Nicholas - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
2 SANTOS Antonio K. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
3 BEALS Alden - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
3 MANN Jake R. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
5 WONG King-Yee - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
6 WU Jonathan - - - - 5% 29% 65%
7 LEE Aiden - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
8 LIN Nathan 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
9 SVERDLOV Seth - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
10 HU Robert J. - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
11 XIA Dashan - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
12 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
13 DUKO Phillip - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
14 LEE JoonWon - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
15 HOWARD Jackson - 4% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
16 DURKIN Brian - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
17 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
18 BOUDREAUX James - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
19 WANG justin - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
20 TRAN Spencer - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 2%
21 SIYANKO Joshua - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
22 SANTOS Francisco M. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
22 LIDSKY Phineas - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
24 RIM Eugene - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
25 WANG Tony - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
26 ANAFI Ari - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
27 HE Bronto 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
28 BAJAJ Nakul 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
29 LEE DoWon 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
30 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
31 CHEN Allen - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
32 KIM Gene - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
33 CORBIN Bennett - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
34 MEN Junda - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
35 AHMED Mohsen - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
36 RADENOVIC Vukan - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
37 REPIC Oliver - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
38 LI Morgan 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
39 SHONEMAN Sam 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
40 JIANG Matthew - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
41 ACAR Devin 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
42 GLUSHKOV David 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
43 SINGLETON Aman - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
44 KIM Henry - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
44 CHEN Jayden - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
46 YI Nathan - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
47 SONG Changze 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
48 MEHROTRA Neel - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
49 HAN Keyi 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
50 ADDYSON Aidan 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
51 HELMY Richard 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
52 FUSSMAN Yuval - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
52 YU Samuel - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
54 ZHAI Avalo - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
55 PETERSEN Zachary 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
56 KARIMOV Amir - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
57 WU Chi Kuan 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
58 WANG Marcus 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
59 OTTAVIANO Aaron 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
60 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 8% 1%
61 LEE Henry 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
62 LIU Jeremiah W. 1% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
63 LI Jade - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
64 EMMERT JP 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
65 DURKIN Tristan E. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
66 BRADSHAW Carter - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
67 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
68 PARKE Nathaniel 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
69 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
70 FENG Du - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
71 WONG Maximus 2% 12% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
72 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
73 YIN Chujun - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
74 WU Jerry 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
75 ROSIELLO Francesco 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
76 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
76 CUELLAR Markus 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
78 ZHANG Marcus 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
79 DOWD Peter L. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
80 MA YIXING (Tiger) 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
80 LYCHKO Maksym 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
82 YANG Alex 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
83 RVACHEV Michael 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
84 CUMMINGS Owen 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
85 BAI Brian 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
86 NG Nico 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
87 CAO Gavin 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
88 KIM Remington 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
88 SIALA Omar - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
90 RUSSELL James - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
91 ZHAO Pierce 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
92 BATISTA Julian 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
94 DU Yifan 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
95 HSU Joshua 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
96 SCHAUER Oliver 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
97 FOGEL Jake 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
98 NILSEN Mark 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% - -
99 FRANCISCO Osvaldo 9% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
100 GU Eric 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
101 CAFASSO Alexander 10% 38% 35% 14% 3% - -
102 YAZDANFAR Marius 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
103 ZHANG Jonathan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
104 NALLICHERI Ayaan 5% 25% 40% 25% 6% -
105 LIU Adam - 1% 10% 29% 41% 19%
106 SHETTY Mihir 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
107 ZENG Andrew - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
108 EVANS Joseph 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
109 ALAM Rajan 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
110 GAO Victor 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
111 KAPLAN Maddox 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
112 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 1%
113 RIM Dongwoo 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
113 ZHENG Jason 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
115 SUN Lucas 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
116 LENNON Nicholas 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
117 ZHAI Christopher 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
118 MATOS Adrian 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
119 MALHAM Andrew 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
120 LEE Anton 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
121 AU Joshua 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
122 KIM Zac 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
123 KLINKENBERG Patrick 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.