American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
2 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
3 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
3 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
5 WONG King-Yee 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
6 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
7 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
8 LIN Nathan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
9 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
10 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
11 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
12 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
13 DUKO Phillip 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
14 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
15 HOWARD Jackson 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
16 DURKIN Brian 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
17 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
18 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
19 WANG justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
20 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 21% 2%
21 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
22 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
22 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
24 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
25 WANG Tony 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
26 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
27 HE Bronto 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
28 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
29 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
30 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
31 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
32 KIM Gene 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
33 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
34 MEN Junda 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
35 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
36 RADENOVIC Vukan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
37 REPIC Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 42% 11%
38 LI Morgan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
39 SHONEMAN Sam 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
40 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
41 ACAR Devin 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
42 GLUSHKOV David 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 6% 1%
43 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
44 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
44 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
46 YI Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
47 SONG Changze 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
48 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
49 HAN Keyi 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
50 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
51 HELMY Richard 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
52 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
52 YU Samuel 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
54 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
55 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
56 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
57 WU Chi Kuan 100% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
58 WANG Marcus 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
59 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
60 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
61 LEE Henry 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
62 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
63 LI Jade 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
64 EMMERT JP 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
65 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
66 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
67 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
68 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
69 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
70 FENG Du 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
71 WONG Maximus 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
72 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
73 YIN Chujun 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
74 WU Jerry 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
75 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
76 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 3% -
76 CUELLAR Markus 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
78 ZHANG Marcus 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
79 DOWD Peter L. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
80 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
80 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
82 YANG Alex 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
83 RVACHEV Michael 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
84 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
85 BAI Brian 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
86 NG Nico 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
87 CAO Gavin 100% 74% 35% 10% 2% - -
88 KIM Remington 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
88 SIALA Omar 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
90 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
91 ZHAO Pierce 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
92 BATISTA Julian 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
94 DU Yifan 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
95 HSU Joshua 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
96 SCHAUER Oliver 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
97 FOGEL Jake 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
98 NILSEN Mark 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
99 FRANCISCO Osvaldo 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
100 GU Eric 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
101 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 90% 53% 18% 3% - -
102 YAZDANFAR Marius 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
103 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
104 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
105 LIU Adam 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
106 SHETTY Mihir 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
107 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
108 EVANS Joseph 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
109 ALAM Rajan 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
110 GAO Victor 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
111 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
112 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
113 RIM Dongwoo 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
113 ZHENG Jason 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
115 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
116 LENNON Nicholas 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
117 ZHAI Christopher 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
118 MATOS Adrian 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
119 MALHAM Andrew 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
120 LEE Anton 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
121 AU Joshua 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
122 KIM Zac 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
123 KLINKENBERG Patrick 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.