Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Monday, September 1, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAO Geoffrey B. - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
2 PARK Sangwook - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
3 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
3 ROBINSON Samuel - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
5 JAIN Samyak - - - 3% 16% 44% 36%
6 ZHENG Haoran - - - - 1% 16% 83%
7 KIM Sullivan - - - - 3% 22% 75%
8 WU Steven - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
9 TANG Mingyuan - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
10 DONG Haiyi - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 6%
11 LI Ethan R. - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
12 MIAO KUNQI - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
13 WU Johnny y. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
14 LEHNER Brian - 2% 12% 31% 37% 18% 1%
15 LEE Jake (JiYuen) - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
16 DENG haoyu 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
17 AVETISIAN Alexander - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
18 ZHANG Austin 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
19 CHEW Aedan - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
20 SCHERZAY Ian 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
21 YU Austin - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
22 XU Che - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
23 SANKEY Levi - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 20%
24 MAXU Tiger 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
24 CHU Theodore 2% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
26 MORIN-JIANG Jake - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
27 LI Yunji (Rain) - 3% 16% 35% 34% 10%
28 YOUNG Quentin 2% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
29 PARKE Nathaniel - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
30 LOUIE Joseph - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
31 DILLON Anik - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
32 ADDLEMAN Joshua - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
33 KIM Alexander - 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
34 MCLAREN Mason - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
35 SHIN Ryan - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 4%
36 SIM Ian - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
37 WHITE Ryden - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
38 SANKEY Luka - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
39 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9% -
40 CHARETTE Matthew - 3% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
41 GADHVI Darius 1% 13% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
41 DAVIDSON James 4% 26% 41% 23% 5% - -
43 CHENG Trevor 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
44 WONG Preston - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
45 LEE Royce - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
46 FEI Victor 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
47 GOROZA Eric 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
48 FU Nolan 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
49 CHANG Andrew - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
50 DENISON Declan - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
51 KOFMAN David 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
52 DENG Destin 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
53 VOO Lucas - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
54 CHARETTE Alex - 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
55 LIANG Donny 3% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
56 POSSON Luke - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
57 KIM Ian - 1% 8% 29% 41% 21% 1%
58 LEE Damien - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23% 2%
59 RUFANOV Maxim - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
60 AVETISIAN Michael 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
61 WANG Devin - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
62 ZHANG Luqi 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
63 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
64 LIN Daniel 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
65 KIM Remington 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% -
66 SU Samuel - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
67 OR Anson 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
68 SCHWITZER Eliot 2% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
69 LEUNG Dylan 3% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
70 SCHIPPER Johann 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
71 QIAO James 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
72 EMERSON Zachary 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
73 WOO Lucas 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
74 FUNG SHAUN 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
75 LITTLE Alex 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
76 SARMIENTO Luke 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
77 WANG Lucas 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
78 PARRA Lucas 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
79 JONES Rodney 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
80 WANG Dylan 36% 42% 18% 3% - -
81 SUROV Alexander 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
82 CHEONG Cameron 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
83 GUO Luke 14% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
84 MARTIN zachary 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
85 COLE Perrin 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
86 RONG Marcus 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
87 MENG Haoyi 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
88 HAMILTON Travis 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
89 NUGENT Curtis 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
90 YU Nathan 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
91 SMITH Mason 66% 29% 5% - - - -
92 MARTIN Lucas 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
93 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 39% 40% 16% 3% - - -
94 MILLER Xavier 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
95 LI Sean 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
96 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
97 DENG Andes 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
98 QIAN Zhixu 56% 34% 8% 1% - - -
99 NIE Shuobo 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
100 DOSHAY Noah 7% 35% 39% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.