Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Monday, September 1, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
2 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
3 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
5 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
6 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
7 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
8 WU Steven 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
9 TANG Mingyuan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
10 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 6%
11 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
12 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
13 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
14 LEHNER Brian 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 1%
15 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
16 DENG haoyu 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
17 AVETISIAN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
18 ZHANG Austin 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
19 CHEW Aedan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
20 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
21 YU Austin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
22 XU Che 100% 100% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
23 SANKEY Levi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
24 MAXU Tiger 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
24 CHU Theodore 100% 98% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
26 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
27 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
28 YOUNG Quentin 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
29 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
30 LOUIE Joseph 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
31 DILLON Anik 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
32 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
33 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
34 MCLAREN Mason 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 22% 4%
35 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 4%
36 SIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
37 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
38 SANKEY Luka 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
39 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 10% -
40 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
41 GADHVI Darius 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
41 DAVIDSON James 100% 96% 70% 29% 6% - -
43 CHENG Trevor 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
44 WONG Preston 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
45 LEE Royce 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
46 FEI Victor 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
47 GOROZA Eric 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
48 FU Nolan 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
49 CHANG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
50 DENISON Declan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
51 KOFMAN David 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
52 DENG Destin 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
53 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
54 CHARETTE Alex 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
55 LIANG Donny 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
56 POSSON Luke 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
57 KIM Ian 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 1%
58 LEE Damien 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 2%
59 RUFANOV Maxim 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
60 AVETISIAN Michael 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
61 WANG Devin 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 11% 1%
62 ZHANG Luqi 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
63 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7% 1%
64 LIN Daniel 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
65 KIM Remington 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
66 SU Samuel 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
67 OR Anson 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
68 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
69 LEUNG Dylan 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
70 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
71 QIAO James 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
72 EMERSON Zachary 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
73 WOO Lucas 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
74 FUNG SHAUN 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
75 LITTLE Alex 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
76 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
77 WANG Lucas 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
78 PARRA Lucas 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
79 JONES Rodney 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% -
80 WANG Dylan 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
81 SUROV Alexander 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
82 CHEONG Cameron 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
83 GUO Luke 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
84 MARTIN zachary 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
85 COLE Perrin 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
86 RONG Marcus 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
87 MENG Haoyi 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
88 HAMILTON Travis 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
89 NUGENT Curtis 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
90 YU Nathan 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
91 SMITH Mason 100% 34% 5% - - - -
92 MARTIN Lucas 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
93 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
94 MILLER Xavier 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
95 LI Sean 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
96 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
97 DENG Andes 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
98 QIAN Zhixu 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
99 NIE Shuobo 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
100 DOSHAY Noah 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.