Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Benjamin - - - 1% 12% 56% 31%
2 SU Caleb - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 AYOTTE James - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 ZHAO Zidong - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
5 CHEN Brian - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
6 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - - - 4% 27% 69%
7 CUELLAR Markus - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 4%
8 YU Jason - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 12%
9 DOUBOV Andrew - - 1% 4% 20% 42% 33%
10 LEE Aiden - 1% 6% 24% 41% 28%
11 XIE Brandon - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
12 NALLICHERI Ayaan - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
13 FIAMINGO Francisco - - - 5% 23% 44% 29%
14 ADDYSON Aidan 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
15 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) - 2% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
16 WANG Marcus - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
17 HU Robert J. - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
18 KIM Gene - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
19 LEECH Braedan - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
20 LEHNER Brian - - 3% 16% 39% 35% 7%
21 RUSSELL James - 1% 6% 26% 41% 23% 3%
22 ZHU Aaron - 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 2%
23 GUO Benjamin 4% 25% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
24 LEE Aiden - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
25 ALEXANDER Jacksen - 1% 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
26 GLOGOWSKI Konrad - - 6% 24% 41% 25% 3%
27 LIU Jeremiah W. - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
28 JONES Jackson - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
29 KOGAN Yelisey L. - 1% 10% 33% 38% 17% 2%
30 MEGGERS Davin - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
31 MUMMIDI Rishi - - 5% 22% 41% 28% 4%
32 ARMSTRONG TyLee 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4%
33 LEE Henry 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
34 DILDA Griffin 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
35 CARNALL Hunter 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
36 NG Nico 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
37 KONG Brandon - 3% 14% 35% 34% 13% 1%
38 LIU Yueri - - - 1% 12% 39% 48%
38 ROBERTS Phoenix - 7% 30% 41% 19% 3% -
40 CHENH Justin - 5% 26% 41% 24% 3%
41 YAP Nathan - 7% 31% 40% 19% 2%
42 KIM Daniel 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
43 BORAN Brooks - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
44 NILSEN Mark 1% 9% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
45 DELONG Joshua 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
46 HERDMAN Julian 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
47 SCORDINSKY Liam 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
48 ZHU Yiming 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
49 MARISI Gabriel - 5% 25% 41% 25% 4%
50 ARZT Nicholas - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 3%
51 SUNKARA Vishnu 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% - -
52 YI Nathan - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16% 1%
53 SAAD Peter 38% 45% 15% 2% - - -
54 HAVARUSHKA Bahdan 20% 44% 29% 6% 1% - -
55 MASSIE Jay 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
56 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
57 ALI Farhan - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
58 WANG Tony - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
59 FEELY Benjamin 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
60 RAMEY Daylon 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
62 PENG Yue - 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 3%
63 GATEWOOD Michael 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
64 EVANS George 1% 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
65 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
66 MCCABE Kian 15% 46% 30% 8% 1% - -
67 CHAU Collin 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
68 BAYUS Oliver 5% 42% 38% 13% 2% -
69 BROSNAN Solomon 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
70 HALE Bradley 9% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
71 TOWNSHEND Connor - 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
72 CHAN Ian 8% 33% 41% 16% 3% - -
73 GALIOTE James 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
74 BATISTA Julian 5% 30% 40% 20% 5% - -
74 PETROVSKI Kiril 31% 46% 19% 3% - - -
74 EVANS Joseph 3% 21% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
74 SALLAI Abel 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
78 KONG Ethan 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
79 SAAD Noah 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
80 OSHIMA Robert 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
81 LEE Benjamin 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
82 JARRATT Isaac 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
83 DAVIS Kai 53% 39% 8% 1% - - -
84 PARY Jean Pierre 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
85 CHIU Preston 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
86 ZUNIGA Carlos Andres Flores 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
87 KUBBA Sauvil 31% 46% 20% 3% - - -
88 STUKALO Egor 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
88 LORENZ Nathan 20% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
90 CHONG Eden 29% 47% 20% 3% - - -
91 ZAKHAROV Konstantyn 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
92 CHIU Sebastian 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
93 BUI Ryan 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
94 SACKETT Gavin 79% 20% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.