Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 31%
2 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 ZHAO Zidong 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
5 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
8 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
9 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
10 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
11 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
12 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
13 FIAMINGO Francisco 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
14 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
15 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
16 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
17 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
18 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
19 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
20 LEHNER Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 7%
21 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
22 ZHU Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
23 GUO Benjamin 100% 96% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
24 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
25 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
26 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 3%
27 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
28 JONES Jackson 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
29 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
30 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
31 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 4%
32 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
33 LEE Henry 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
34 DILDA Griffin 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
35 CARNALL Hunter 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
36 NG Nico 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
37 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
38 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
38 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 100% 92% 63% 22% 3% -
40 CHENH Justin 100% 100% 95% 69% 27% 3%
41 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 2%
42 KIM Daniel 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% - -
43 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
44 NILSEN Mark 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
45 DELONG Joshua 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
46 HERDMAN Julian 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
47 SCORDINSKY Liam 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
48 ZHU Yiming 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
49 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 4%
50 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
51 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% - -
52 YI Nathan 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 1%
53 SAAD Peter 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
54 HAVARUSHKA Bahdan 100% 80% 36% 7% 1% - -
55 MASSIE Jay 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
56 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
57 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
58 WANG Tony 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
59 FEELY Benjamin 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
60 RAMEY Daylon 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
62 PENG Yue 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
63 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
64 EVANS George 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2% -
65 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
66 MCCABE Kian 100% 85% 39% 9% 1% - -
67 CHAU Collin 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
68 BAYUS Oliver 100% 95% 53% 15% 2% -
69 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
70 HALE Bradley 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% - -
71 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 12% 1%
72 CHAN Ian 100% 92% 60% 19% 3% - -
73 GALIOTE James 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
74 BATISTA Julian 100% 95% 66% 25% 5% - -
74 PETROVSKI Kiril 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
74 EVANS Joseph 100% 97% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
74 SALLAI Abel 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
78 KONG Ethan 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
79 SAAD Noah 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
80 OSHIMA Robert 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
81 LEE Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
82 JARRATT Isaac 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
83 DAVIS Kai 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
84 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
85 CHIU Preston 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
86 ZUNIGA Carlos Andres Flores 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
87 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 69% 23% 3% - - -
88 STUKALO Egor 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
88 LORENZ Nathan 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -
90 CHONG Eden 100% 71% 24% 4% - - -
91 ZAKHAROV Konstantyn 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
92 CHIU Sebastian 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
93 BUI Ryan 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
94 SACKETT Gavin 100% 21% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.