January SJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Renasant Convention Center - Memphis, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
2 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
3 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
3 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
5 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
6 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
7 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
8 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
9 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
10 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
11 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
12 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
13 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
14 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
15 YANG Gary 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% -
16 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
17 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
18 LU Jacob 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
19 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
20 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
21 LIU Andy 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
22 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
23 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
24 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
25 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
26 REPIC Oliver 100% 99% 90% 65% 33% 9% 1%
27 HSU Joshua 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
28 GACIOCH Noah 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
29 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
30 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
30 GLUSHKOV David 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
32 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
33 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 3%
34 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
36 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
37 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
38 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
39 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
40 WU Steven 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
41 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
42 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
43 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
44 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
45 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 99% 88% 61% 25% 4%
46 ZHAO Zidong 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
47 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
48 YI Nathan 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
49 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
50 LIU Adam 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
51 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
52 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
52 ALI Farhan 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
54 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
55 VOO Lucas 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
56 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 2%
57 CHA Patrick 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% -
58 HE Bronto 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
59 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
60 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
62 KONG Brandon 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
63 MUENKE Magnus 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
64 HELMY Richard 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
65 KIM Henry 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
66 CHEN YiHeng 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
67 NGUYEN Hubert 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
68 KIM Gene 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 5%
69 LEE Anton 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
70 RONG Gordon 100% 98% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
71 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
72 LI Jade 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% -
73 LEE DoWon 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
74 JEONG Arisu 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
75 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11%
76 ZHANG Austin 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
77 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
78 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
79 LIANG Donny 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
80 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
81 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
81 HUANG Ethan 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
83 HERNDON Liam Herndon 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 5% -
84 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
85 JAIN Samyak 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
86 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
87 QIAN Irvine 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
88 LEE Royce 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 13% 2%
89 KIM Remington 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
90 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 94% 71% 38% 12% 2% -
91 KIM Alexander 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
92 ZHENG Jason 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
93 GAO Victor 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
94 SHIN Ryan 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
95 WU Johnny y. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
96 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
96 CHO Alex 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
98 KUSACTAY Eric 100% 94% 61% 23% 5% 1% -
99 WU Matthew 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
100 CHEN Jayden 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
101 MIDYANY Evan 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
102 DECKER Hunter 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
103 FU Nolan 100% 96% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
104 AYOTTE James 100% 99% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
105 LI Grayson 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
106 ZHANG Lucas 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
107 WANG Devin 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
108 ZHU Yiming 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
109 GOROZA Eric 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
110 YAO Tristan 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
111 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
112 CHEN Jayden 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
113 RONG Marcus 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
114 KIM Ian 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
115 GAO Ryan 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
116 ZHOU alex 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
117 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 35% 5% - - - -
118 TANEJA ARNAV 100% 19% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.