Cherry Blossom 2026 - D1A/VET

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 9:00 AM

University of Maryland Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOKENGE Reid - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
2 TIKHONOV Daniel - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 HILBERT Gabriel E. - - - - 4% 33% 62%
3 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - - - 3% 24% 73%
5 LEE Aiden - - 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
6 CLICK Tristan - - - 5% 26% 53% 16%
7 TIKHONOV Ilia - 1% 9% 32% 44% 13% 1%
8 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - - 3% 18% 51% 29%
9 CLICK Aiden - - - - 4% 30% 65%
10 SU Caleb - - - 1% 11% 45% 43%
11 CHANEY Charles - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
12 CHENH Justin - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
13 ROSE-JONES Simon - - - 2% 19% 54% 24%
14 SAUNIER Cameron - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
15 PENG Yue - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
16 KONG Brandon 5% 30% 44% 20% 2% -
17 BORATGIS Christopher J. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
18 HU Robert J. - - - 2% 16% 42% 39%
18 ZIEGLER John - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
20 MILINKOVIC Maksim 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
21 LEE Anton - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
22 SHREM Samuel G. - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
23 MODANLOU Navid - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
24 TUCKER ALFONSO Javier - - - 3% 32% 65%
25 CHEN Brian - - 2% 16% 61% 21%
26 YANG Gary - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
27 HEARNE Gavin - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
28 LEE Aiden - - 4% 19% 38% 33% 6%
29 TATE William Isom - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
30 GLOGOWSKI Konrad - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
31 HALE Bradley 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% - -
32 MARINI Davide 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
33 CHRISTY Peter C. - - 2% 12% 38% 38% 11%
34 CUTHBERTSON Dax 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% < 1% -
35 FEELY Benjamin 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% < 1% -
36 MIKHAIL Lucas - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
37 MUMMIDI Rishi - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
38 ALI Farhan - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
38 CHEN Jayden - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9% -
40 TIRRELL Justin J. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
41 MEHROTRA Neel 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% -
41 LEE DoWon 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
43 EVANS George 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
44 BAYUS Oliver 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
45 YU Jason - 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
46 BROSNAN Solomon 46% 41% 12% 1% < 1% - -
47 ALEXANDER Jacksen 2% 17% 39% 30% 10% 1%
48 DOLBOW Trevor 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
49 EDGECOMB Michael J. - 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
50 CAMPBELL Daniel R. - - - < 1% 7% 40% 53%
50 DELONG Joshua 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
52 KE Sebastian - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
53 LIN Haley 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -
54 ZHU Yiming 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2% -
55 BORAN Brooks 5% 28% 41% 21% 5% - -
55 WANG Marcus - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9% -
57 SO Lorenzo 1% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1% -
58 PAN Colin - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
59 BAGHA Armin - - 1% 10% 34% 40% 14%
60 ZHAI Junqi 2% 19% 43% 32% 4% -
61 SWENSON Keane J. - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
62 MAGUIRE Timothy 59% 34% 6% - - -
63 CHAN Ian 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
64 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 2% 19% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
65 PEPPLE Derek - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 5%
66 WOLFE Alex - - - 3% 21% 45% 31%
67 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 5% 21% 37% 29% 9% -
68 WILKERSON Tobias 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
69 LEECH Braedan 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3% -
70 SMITH Troy H. - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
71 KIM Gene - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
72 RAMEY Daylon 4% 30% 44% 20% 2% -
73 LEE Benjamin 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
74 AYOTTE James - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
75 XIE Brandon - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
76 FOLEY Max 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
77 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
78 HUTZ Michael B. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
78 YU Austin - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
80 EVANS Allen L. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
81 RODACHY Jeffrey M. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
82 COFFEY Jacob - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
83 PRAKASH Rahul 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4% -
84 KONG Ethan 13% 49% 30% 8% 1% - -
85 BEREKNYEI Lukas 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
86 ALPSOY Emir 39% 43% 15% 2% - -
87 STRAFFORD Andrew 17% 45% 30% 8% 1% -
88 HAN Sam - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
89 DILDA Griffin 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3% -
90 STEVENS Daniel L. 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
90 SAAD Noah 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
92 GUO Benjamin 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
93 PERI Mourya 17% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
94 CARNALL Hunter 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2% -
95 LAWLOR Lee - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 4%
96 SHILOV Maxim 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% - -
96 SAAD Peter 28% 45% 23% 4% - - -
98 VELLALA Avinash 15% 45% 31% 8% 1% - -
99 GALEOTTI Loriano - - 1% 9% 33% 45% 10%
100 KLINE R. Jay - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
101 BROADBELT Kirk 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
102 ROBERTS Phoenix 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
103 WATERS Nathaniel 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
104 KOKENGE Chad 1% 8% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
105 LIN Yufei 7% 31% 40% 18% 3% - -
106 MEDISETTI Arjun 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
107 PARY Jean Pierre 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
108 LOPATIN Sergei 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
109 QU RuiTing 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
110 KING Patrick 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
111 PETERSON Christopher 5% 29% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
112 CARTER Austin L. - < 1% 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
113 KUBBA Sauvil 84% 15% 1% - - - -
114 JARRATT Isaac 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
115 FERRELL Parker 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
116 RUSSELL Tallis 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
117 STOUT Zachary 28% 45% 23% 4% - - -
118 CANDELARIA Armando 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
119 MCCABE Kian 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
120 HUGHES Michael D. < 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
121 ADAMS Zachary J. 2% 14% 38% 36% 10% 1% -
122 SHELLY Emery 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
123 JIN Adam 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
124 FENG Xinmin 72% 24% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.