Cherry Blossom 2026 - D1A/VET

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 9:00 AM

University of Maryland Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
3 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
3 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
5 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
6 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 16%
7 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 14% 1%
8 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 29%
9 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
10 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 43%
11 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 28% 5%
12 CHENH Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
13 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 24%
14 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
15 PENG Yue 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
16 KONG Brandon 100% 95% 66% 22% 2% -
17 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
18 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
18 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
20 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
21 LEE Anton 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
22 SHREM Samuel G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
23 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
24 TUCKER ALFONSO Javier 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 65%
25 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 21%
26 YANG Gary 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
27 HEARNE Gavin 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
28 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 6%
29 TATE William Isom 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
30 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
31 HALE Bradley 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
32 MARINI Davide 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
33 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 11%
34 CUTHBERTSON Dax 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% < 1% -
35 FEELY Benjamin 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% < 1% -
36 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% -
37 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
38 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
38 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% -
40 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
41 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
41 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% -
43 EVANS George 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
44 BAYUS Oliver 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
45 YU Jason 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 12% 1%
46 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 54% 13% 1% < 1% - -
47 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1%
48 DOLBOW Trevor 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
49 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
50 CAMPBELL Daniel R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 53%
50 DELONG Joshua 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
52 KE Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
53 LIN Haley 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
54 ZHU Yiming 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2% -
55 BORAN Brooks 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
55 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9% -
57 SO Lorenzo 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1% -
58 PAN Colin 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
59 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
60 ZHAI Junqi 100% 98% 79% 36% 4% -
61 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
62 MAGUIRE Timothy 100% 41% 7% - - -
63 CHAN Ian 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
64 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
65 PEPPLE Derek 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
66 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
67 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% -
68 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
69 LEECH Braedan 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4% -
70 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
71 KIM Gene 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
72 RAMEY Daylon 100% 96% 66% 22% 2% -
73 LEE Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
74 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
75 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
76 FOLEY Max 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
77 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
78 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
78 YU Austin 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 6%
80 EVANS Allen L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3%
81 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
82 COFFEY Jacob 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
83 PRAKASH Rahul 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4% -
84 KONG Ethan 100% 87% 39% 9% 1% - -
85 BEREKNYEI Lukas 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
86 ALPSOY Emir 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
87 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% -
88 HAN Sam 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
89 DILDA Griffin 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3% -
90 STEVENS Daniel L. 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
90 SAAD Noah 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
92 GUO Benjamin 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
93 PERI Mourya 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
94 CARNALL Hunter 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2% -
95 LAWLOR Lee 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
96 SHILOV Maxim 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% 1% -
96 SAAD Peter 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
98 VELLALA Avinash 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% - -
99 GALEOTTI Loriano 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 10%
100 KLINE R. Jay 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
101 BROADBELT Kirk 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
102 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
103 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
104 KOKENGE Chad 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
105 LIN Yufei 100% 93% 62% 21% 4% - -
106 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
107 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
108 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
109 QU RuiTing 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
110 KING Patrick 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 4% -
111 PETERSON Christopher 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
112 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
113 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 16% 1% - - - -
114 JARRATT Isaac 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
115 FERRELL Parker 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% - -
116 RUSSELL Tallis 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
117 STOUT Zachary 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
118 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 3% -
119 MCCABE Kian 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
120 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2%
121 ADAMS Zachary J. 100% 98% 85% 47% 10% 1% -
122 SHELLY Emery 100% 96% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
123 JIN Adam 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
124 FENG Xinmin 100% 28% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.