USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Women's Foil

Friday, July 5, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Paulina - - - 2% 17% 44% 36%
2 RATSEP Ariel - - - 6% 29% 46% 18%
3 KOROL Neta - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 4%
3 FAN Elaine - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
5 CASTANEDA Erika L. - - - 3% 17% 48% 32%
6 YE Catherine - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
7 YU Jaime L. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
8 SCHATZ Kristina J. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
9 MCSHINE Katelyn H. - 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 4%
10 TALWALKAR Apoorva - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
11 MICHAELSEN Emily - - 5% 25% 44% 25%
12 PERLMAN Talia - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
13 LEE Bethany W. - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
14 KIM Hyunchae Y. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
15 NEWHARD Zelia K. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
16 HIRSCH Gabriella H. 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
17 KIM Kayla A. - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
18 MILLER Naomi E. - - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
19 WU Renee - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
20 FOLLOWILL Sarah S. - 5% 27% 42% 22% 4%
21 SOLSKY Brooke A. - - 5% 27% 42% 22% 4%
22 DAVIDSON Sammy C. - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
23 DE LA CRUZ Eden 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
24 CHO Inga - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
25 NARANG Maya - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
25 YIN Helen - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
27 HEISER Anna M. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
28 WU Irene M. - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 26%
29 MUELLER Tatum J. 1% 8% 32% 39% 18% 3%
30 HUANG NATALIE - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
31 CUI Melody J. - - 7% 37% 40% 14% 2%
32 TAN Clarisse - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10% 1%
33 XU Marie-Anne J. - - 1% 16% 39% 34% 9%
34 XU Madison - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
35 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
36 DING Abigail - 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 12%
37 SALINAS Jessica L. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
38 BAKER-ROSENBERG Raynor S. - - 3% 17% 36% 34% 10%
39 TRASKUNOV Alisa G. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
40 LEE Ariana - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
40 LEE Isabelle - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
42 LI Meilin - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 9%
43 KALE Anika A. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
44 PAVE Claire 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
45 BECCHINA Claire E. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
46 SHEN Sophia 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
47 BROTZEN-SMITH Clara R. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
48 DU Hannah - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
49 XUE Alanna - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
50 GEYER Carolina M. 1% 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
51 D'ARCY Annie M. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
52 SASSE Savitri A. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
53 YU Lauren C. - 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
54 YANG Blanche - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
55 BAROCHIA Saatchi 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
56 OWEN Ashley - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
56 SHUM Elizabeth 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
58 FOELLMER Lena 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
59 KASS Sara A. - 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
60 LOGAN Jade 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
61 DRAGNE Alexis D. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
62 HIRSCH Sophie A. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
63 COX Sofia L. 8% 38% 41% 11% 1% - -
64 PERKINS Jazmin A. - 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
65 DEVEREAUX Kate E. - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
66 VOHRA Anusha - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
67 SHEN Annabel - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
68 OLSEN Jen - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
69 BASSON Bayley D. 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
70 HO Rachel E. 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
71 COKER Bettina M. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
72 MILLER Veronica 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
73 PENTSAKOV Margaret 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
74 THOMAS Aaria S. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
75 CONVERSE Madilynn E. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
76 DE LA FOSCADE-CONDON Celine - 3% 11% 26% 33% 21% 6%
77 BRENNER Ellie - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
78 MCPHERSON Hannah C. - 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
79 ZHAO Grace - 4% 22% 40% 27% 6%
80 THURMAN Allison L. - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
81 ACHILOVA Feyza - 3% 20% 39% 30% 8%
82 KIM Alyssa - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
83 KANIUK Rachel - 10% 36% 37% 15% 2%
84 MI Anning 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
85 HOBSON Leena 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
86 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
87 JIANG Hannah S. - - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
88 STEPHENSON Jenna - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
89 BATSON Kaleookalani J. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
90 LONG Madeline M. - - 5% 19% 37% 30% 9%
91 SEEBERG Shelbie N. 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
91 BAROCHIA Meera - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
93 DEMOSS Mercedes - 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
94 SCHATZ Erika J. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
95 RASO Olivia - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
96 LEE Claire L. - - 2% 20% 40% 30% 8%
97 KENNEDY Elizabeth 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
98 YANG Liu (Willow) 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
99 FELLMAN Sara 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
100 KNOPF Jenna G. 24% 49% 22% 4% - -
101 KNOEPFFLER ANDREA V. 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
102 DOUGLASS Kathrine E. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
103 MCKEVITT Caitlin R. - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
103 POWERS Kathryn 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
105 LIN Joyce 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
106 BHAN Zala 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% - -
107 SARKARIA Jasminder 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
108 STONE Colleen R. 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
108 WANG Yiran (Cindy) 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
110 ZIMBALIST Lila 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
111 LIU Michelle J. - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
112 BERG Stephanie A. 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
112 BHOGAL Sukhneet 26% 49% 23% 2% - - -
114 PAHLAVI Dahlia 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
115 COLE Alex 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
116 SCHWARTZMAN Salma 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
116 LI Angela 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
118 FISHER Serena I. 8% 37% 44% 11% 1% - -
119 SCHMIDT Victoria 1% 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
120 COMPTON Catherine 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
121 LIN Emma 2% 44% 40% 12% 2% -
122 DOBRINEN Elizabeth 18% 51% 26% 5% - -
123 TAI Serena 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
124 READ Sarah 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
125 TAI Valerie 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
126 PANTIN Dominique L. 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
127 VELAZQUEZ Rosa T. 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
128 ROMERO Sophia 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
129 HAMMER anya 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
131 HUNT Abigail S. 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
132 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
133 WOODFORD Kalei E. 10% 37% 41% 11% 1% - -
133 ABDULLAHI Saara 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
135 WOUNDY Melissa A. 2% 24% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
135 ADLER Alexandra 5% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
137 MALHOTRA Simran 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
138 LI Kristina 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
139 KELBLEY Elena J. 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
140 YANG Megan 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
141 GROGAN Hunter K. 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
142 GUO Jessica 30% 46% 21% 3% - - -
143 GRAY Martha R. 30% 43% 21% 4% - - -
143 GUAN Grace 76% 21% 2% - - - -
145 OESTERREICHER Chloe K. 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
145 JASSEM Mikayla E. 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
147 DUJARI Mina 53% 38% 8% 1% - -
147 YEUNG Cherry 92% 8% - - - -
149 JACKSON Wilma S. 3% 17% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
149 FONTANA Julianne 18% 46% 31% 6% - - -
149 HARMINSON Hayley 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
152 ANDERSON Elizabeth 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
153 WOODY Chloe 34% 44% 19% 4% - -
154 MILLER Tiffany E. 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
154 GAO Esther S. 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
156 AGOSTINI Laura 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.