USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Women's Foil

Friday, July 5, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Paulina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
2 RATSEP Ariel 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 18%
3 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
3 FAN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
5 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 32%
6 YE Catherine 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
7 YU Jaime L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
8 SCHATZ Kristina J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
9 MCSHINE Katelyn H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
10 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
11 MICHAELSEN Emily 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
12 PERLMAN Talia 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
13 LEE Bethany W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
14 KIM Hyunchae Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
15 NEWHARD Zelia K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
16 HIRSCH Gabriella H. 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
17 KIM Kayla A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
18 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
19 WU Renee 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
20 FOLLOWILL Sarah S. 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 4%
21 SOLSKY Brooke A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 4%
22 DAVIDSON Sammy C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 26% 4%
23 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
24 CHO Inga 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
25 NARANG Maya 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
25 YIN Helen 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
27 HEISER Anna M. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
28 WU Irene M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
29 MUELLER Tatum J. 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3%
30 HUANG NATALIE 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
31 CUI Melody J. 100% 100% 100% 93% 56% 16% 2%
32 TAN Clarisse 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11% 1%
33 XU Marie-Anne J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
34 XU Madison 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
35 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
36 DING Abigail 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 12%
37 SALINAS Jessica L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
38 BAKER-ROSENBERG Raynor S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
39 TRASKUNOV Alisa G. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
40 LEE Ariana 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
40 LEE Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
42 LI Meilin 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
43 KALE Anika A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
44 PAVE Claire 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
45 BECCHINA Claire E. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
46 SHEN Sophia 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
47 BROTZEN-SMITH Clara R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
48 DU Hannah 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
49 XUE Alanna 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 11%
50 GEYER Carolina M. 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
51 D'ARCY Annie M. 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
52 SASSE Savitri A. 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
53 YU Lauren C. 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
54 YANG Blanche 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
55 BAROCHIA Saatchi 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
56 OWEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
56 SHUM Elizabeth 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
58 FOELLMER Lena 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
59 KASS Sara A. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
60 LOGAN Jade 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
61 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
62 HIRSCH Sophie A. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
63 COX Sofia L. 100% 92% 54% 13% 1% - -
64 PERKINS Jazmin A. 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
65 DEVEREAUX Kate E. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
66 VOHRA Anusha 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
67 SHEN Annabel 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
68 OLSEN Jen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
69 BASSON Bayley D. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
70 HO Rachel E. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
71 COKER Bettina M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
72 MILLER Veronica 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
73 PENTSAKOV Margaret 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
74 THOMAS Aaria S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
75 CONVERSE Madilynn E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
76 DE LA FOSCADE-CONDON Celine 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
77 BRENNER Ellie 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
78 MCPHERSON Hannah C. 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
79 ZHAO Grace 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
80 THURMAN Allison L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
81 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
82 KIM Alyssa 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
83 KANIUK Rachel 100% 100% 90% 54% 16% 2%
84 MI Anning 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
85 HOBSON Leena 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
86 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
87 JIANG Hannah S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
88 STEPHENSON Jenna 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
89 BATSON Kaleookalani J. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
90 LONG Madeline M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 9%
91 SEEBERG Shelbie N. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
91 BAROCHIA Meera 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
93 DEMOSS Mercedes 100% 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
94 SCHATZ Erika J. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
95 RASO Olivia 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
96 LEE Claire L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8%
97 KENNEDY Elizabeth 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
98 YANG Liu (Willow) 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
99 FELLMAN Sara 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
100 KNOPF Jenna G. 100% 76% 27% 4% - -
101 KNOEPFFLER ANDREA V. 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
102 DOUGLASS Kathrine E. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
103 MCKEVITT Caitlin R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
103 POWERS Kathryn 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
105 LIN Joyce 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
106 BHAN Zala 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
107 SARKARIA Jasminder 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
108 STONE Colleen R. 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -
108 WANG Yiran (Cindy) 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
110 ZIMBALIST Lila 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
111 LIU Michelle J. 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
112 BERG Stephanie A. 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
112 BHOGAL Sukhneet 100% 74% 25% 2% - - -
114 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
115 COLE Alex 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
116 SCHWARTZMAN Salma 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
116 LI Angela 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
118 FISHER Serena I. 100% 92% 56% 12% 1% - -
119 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 99% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
120 COMPTON Catherine 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
121 LIN Emma 100% 98% 54% 14% 2% -
122 DOBRINEN Elizabeth 100% 82% 31% 5% - -
123 TAI Serena 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
124 READ Sarah 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
125 TAI Valerie 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
126 PANTIN Dominique L. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
127 VELAZQUEZ Rosa T. 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
128 ROMERO Sophia 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
129 HAMMER anya 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
131 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
132 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
133 WOODFORD Kalei E. 100% 90% 53% 12% 1% - -
133 ABDULLAHI Saara 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
135 WOUNDY Melissa A. 100% 98% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
135 ADLER Alexandra 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
137 MALHOTRA Simran 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
138 LI Kristina 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
139 KELBLEY Elena J. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
140 YANG Megan 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
141 GROGAN Hunter K. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
142 GUO Jessica 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
143 GRAY Martha R. 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
143 GUAN Grace 100% 24% 2% - - - -
145 OESTERREICHER Chloe K. 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
145 JASSEM Mikayla E. 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
147 DUJARI Mina 100% 47% 8% 1% - -
147 YEUNG Cherry 100% 8% - - - -
149 JACKSON Wilma S. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
149 FONTANA Julianne 100% 82% 37% 6% - - -
149 HARMINSON Hayley 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
152 ANDERSON Elizabeth 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
153 WOODY Chloe 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
154 MILLER Tiffany E. 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
154 GAO Esther S. 100% 52% 13% 1% - - -
156 AGOSTINI Laura 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.