Event Results

Div I Challenger Men's Épée

October NACSurprise Map

Friday, October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM Orange County Convention Center · Orlando, FL, USA
233 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 WU Steven D V D D V D V V V V V V V V 3.4 2 -1.4
2 HUTTO Joshua D V V D V V V V V V V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
3 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) V V V V V D V V V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
3 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas V V V V V V V V V V V D 2.7 6 +3.3
5 TOYOFUKU Ethan V V V V V V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
6 BUI Henry V V V D V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
7 CALDERON Diego V V V D V V V V V V D 5.4 5 -0.4
8 WILSON Sean H. D V D D V D V V V V V D 5.5 2 -3.5
9 MIDYANY Ryan V V V V V V V V V D 2.3 6 +3.7
10 SOKOL Luke V V V V V D V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
11 SHIN Yubin V V V D V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
12 RAFIDI Joseph (Joey) F. D V V V V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
13 MOSES Alexander V V D D V V V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
14 WICAS Graham E. D V V V V D V V V D 5.4 4 -1.4
15 NAKAS Levent V V V D V D V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
16 PARKS-GOOD Tyler D D V V V D V V V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
17 CORBIN Bennett V V V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
18 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN V V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
19 DODIN Daniel M. V V V D V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
20 DONAHUE Lake D V V V V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
21 HELMLINGER Ean V V V V D V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
22 MA Haojia V V V V V D V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
23 DURKIN Hudson D V V V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
24 KATAYAMA Kevin V V D V D V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
25 KIM Sterling S. V D V D V V V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
26 SOLARZ Arthur V D V V D V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
27 MUNLIN Donovan V D V D V V V V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
28 GUMEDELLI Mohnish V V D D D V V V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
29 CANAUX Gabriel A. D V D V D V V V D 5.2 3 -2.2
30 MIZRAHI Michael D D V D V V V V V D 4.3 3 -1.3
31 DOLMETSCH Max D V D D D V V V V D 4.5 2 -2.5
32 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar D D V D V D V V V D 2.4 2 -0.4
33 DESTEFANO Julius V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
34 JOHNSON Ryder V V V V V V V D 4.1 6 +1.9
35 LUO Alexander V V V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
36 SLESS Alexander Y. V V V V V V V D 5.6 6 +0.4
37 CHEN Brian V D V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
38 LEE Stewart S. V V V V D V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
39 MORIN-JIANG Jake V V V V D V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
40 MODULLA Yathin R. V V V D V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
40 DU Evan V V V V D V V 3.5 5 +1.5
42 YILMAZ Tarik V V V V V D V D 3.2 5 +1.8
43 SINGH Ravin V V V V D V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
44 LEE DoWon D V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
45 LEE Aiden V V V V D V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
46 TOWNSHEND Connor V V D V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
47 JEONG Arisu D V V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
48 LOISEAU Oscar D D V V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
49 MITTELSTAEDT Isaiah V D V V V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
50 OSMAN Amjad V V V D D V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
51 SHAH S Ayush V V D V V D V D 5.0 4 -1.0
52 LOUIE Joseph V V V D D V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
53 NAEMI Barsam V V D D V V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
54 MIAO Quentin K. V V D V D V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
55 CHA Patrick D V V D V V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
56 CHEN Tianjun D V D D V V V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
57 SIEDOW William D V D V D V V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
58 KIM Henry D D V V D V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
59 LIDSKY Phineas D V D V D V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
60 TOLLEFSON Zachary V V D D D V V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
61 LI Timothy V D D V D V V V D 3.0 3 -
62 LI Grayson V D V D D V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
63 SAUNIER Cameron V D D D D V V V D 4.0 2 -2.0
64 GUNDUBOGULA Saket Rishi D V D V D D V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
65 MACARTY Jordan T. V V V V V V D 4.3 6 +1.7
66 POULIQUEN Nicolas J. V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
67 KIM Byung V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
68 MILINKOVIC Maksim V V V V V V D 3.2 6 +2.8
69 BEZAS Constantine V V V V V V D 1.8 6 +4.2
70 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. V D V V V V D 5.5 5 -0.5
71 WANG Devin V V V V V D D 2.6 5 +2.4
72 GUO Austin S. D V V V V V D 5.3 5 -0.3
73 KIM Sullivan V V D V V V D 5.0 5 -
73 LEHNER Brian V V V V D V D 3.4 5 +1.6
75 MIDYANY Evan V V V D V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
75 PAN Boru V D V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
77 LIU Adam V V V D V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
78 FULLERTON Houston T. V V D V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
79 VAN RIET Stefan V V V V V D D 1.9 5 +3.1
80 LACROIX Floryan V D V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
81 DENG Destin V V V D V V D 1.7 5 +3.3
82 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios V D V V V V D 2.0 5 +3.0
83 LIU Yueri D V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
84 MARSHALL John W. V V V D D D 3.9 3 -0.9
85 MOORE Jeremy S. D V V D V V D 5.6 4 -1.6
86 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. D V D V V V D 5.3 4 -1.3
87 YU Austin D V D V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
88 MELCHER Jack H. V D V V D V D 4.7 4 -0.7
89 TIEMANN Landen D V V V V D D 2.9 4 +1.1
90 QIAN Irvine D V D V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
90 GACIOCH Noah V V V V D D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
92 SATHYAN Dev V V D D V V V D 1.9 4 +2.1
93 JOHNSTON Conner S. V D D V V V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
94 MULDOON Tommy D D V V V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
95 SATISHKUMAR Pranav V V D V V D V D 1.6 4 +2.4
96 DOUBOV Andrew V D V D V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
97 CHEN YiHeng V V V D D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
98 DANIEL Camron D V V D V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
99 GLENNON Sebastian J. V V D D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
100 LIM Julien K. D V D D V V V D 4.3 3 -1.3
101 LEUNG Dylan V D D V V D V D 1.6 3 +1.4
102 KARNAS Karol D D V V D V V D 4.5 3 -1.5
103 SWENSON Keane J. D V D V V D V D 3.6 3 -0.6
104 BRADSHAW Carter D V D V V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
105 KOFMAN David D D D V V V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
106 HOWARD Jackson V V D D V D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
107 DECKER Hunter V D D V D V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
108 YANG Gary D D V D V V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
108 VOO Lucas V D D D V V D 1.5 2 +0.5
110 CHIEN Brandon D V V D D V V D 4.9 3 -1.9
111 SHCHUR Grayson D V D V D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
112 LEE JoonWon D D D V V V D 3.6 2 -1.6
113 CAFASSO Alexander D D V V D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
114 YI Nathan D D V D V D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
114 FU Nolan D V D D V D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
116 IBANEZ Benjamin V V D D D D V D 2.0 2 -
117 GLUSHKOV David D D D D V V V D 2.5 2 -0.5
118 ADDYSON Aidan V V D D D D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
119 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) D V D D V D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
120 KIM Leejay D D D V D V V D 1.4 2 +0.6
121 YAO Tristan D D V D D V D 0.9 1 +0.1
122 WU Matthew V V D D D D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
123 TOOR Sukhwinderpal D V D V D D V D 3.9 2 -1.9
124 LEE Daniel D V D D D V V D 1.5 2 +0.5
125 EDGECOMB Michael J. D D V D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
125 SPRINGER Michael V D D D D V V D 3.9 2 -1.9
127 TRAN Spencer V D V D D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
128 KYPRAIOS Nicholas V D V D D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
129 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki V V D V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
130 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. V V D V D D 4.1 3 -1.1
131 SU Samuel D V V V V D D 1.6 4 +2.4
132 CAI Brian V D V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
133 MOORE Alexander V V V D V D D 2.4 4 +1.6
134 SURESH NEERAJ D V V V V D D 2.6 4 +1.4
135 BOSS Evan V V D D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
136 WILSON Ian G. V V D V D D 2.0 3 +1.0
137 HSU Joshua V D V V D D 2.5 3 +0.5
138 KARIMOV Amir D V V V D D D 3.4 3 -0.4
139 VAN JAARSVELD Leo D V D D V V D 1.7 3 +1.3
140 BAGDONAS Olivier D D D V V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
141 XUE Michael V D D D V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
142 CHANEY Charles V D V D V D D 2.8 3 +0.2
143 SMITH Justin C. D V D V V D D 4.2 3 -1.2
143 LI Tristan V V D V D D D 3.2 3 -0.2
145 TAMULONIS Fen C. D D V V D V D 3.6 3 -0.6
146 LEE Royce D V D V V D D 3.9 3 -0.9
147 HAN Keyi D V V D V D D 1.7 3 +1.3
147 SCHMIDT Paxton D D V V V D D 1.3 3 +1.7
149 BHANDARE Veer D D V D V V D 1.3 3 +1.7
149 CHO Alex D V V D V D D 2.7 3 +0.3
151 WU Johnny y. V V D D D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
152 CHEN Edward V D V V D D D 2.6 3 +0.4
153 CHEN Cameron D D V V D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
154 ZHU Yiming D D V V V D D 2.3 3 +0.7
154 LAJOIE Christophe V D V D V D D 3.6 3 -0.6
156 CUELLAR Markus V D D D V V D 1.9 3 +1.1
157 IRWIN Peter V V D V D D D 5.3 3 -2.3
157 ARMSTRONG Payson V D D D V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
159 LEWIS Jared D D V V D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
160 SOULAIRE Tom V D D V V D D 4.0 3 -1.0
161 MARISI Gabriel D D V V D V D 2.0 3 +1.0
162 CHALLAMEL Hadrien V V D V D D D 1.6 3 +1.4
163 ADDLEMAN Joshua D V D D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
164 DADE MAXIMUS V D V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
165 VYSOTSKIY Evan V D V D D D D 2.8 2 -0.8
166 SUH Aiden D D D V D V D 2.0 2 -
167 CHEN Raymond V D D D V D D 1.5 2 +0.5
168 SIMMES Jackson V D D D V D D 2.8 2 -0.8
169 NOLAN Tyler D D V D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
170 CHEN Evan D D V D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
171 KIM Ian D D V V D D D 1.2 2 +0.8
172 AHMED Mohsen V D D D D V D 3.1 2 -1.1
173 LEE Anton D V D D D V D 1.3 2 +0.7
174 HERARD Weiman D D V D V D D 2.1 2 -0.1
175 MUMMIDI Rishi V V D D D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
176 GONZALEZ Kian D D V D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
176 JERDEE Colton V D D V D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
178 CHEN Aiden V V D D D D D 1.1 2 +0.9
178 NGUYEN Ethan V. V D D V D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
180 O'HARROW Tristan C. V D D D V D D 3.2 2 -1.2
181 HEADRICK Jack V D D V D D D 2.2 2 -0.2
182 HE Bronto V D D V D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
183 YELIN-STEIN Ethan M. V D V D D D D 1.9 2 +0.1
184 MOSLEY Wally V D D V D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
184 CHAU Collin D D V D D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
186 SAVORETTI Pietro D D D V D D 2.6 1 -1.6
187 ALI Adam V D D D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
187 PENG Yue D D V D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
189 MCLAREN Mason D D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
190 KROPP Wesley D D D V D D 2.2 1 -1.2
191 TYSON Charlie V D D D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
192 BRESLAV Asher D D D V D 0.8 1 +0.2
193 RUBIN Nathan D D V D D 1.1 1 -0.1
194 AUMSON Hubert D D D D V 0.4 1 +0.6
195 TUNG Charlie V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
196 ZHENG Jason D D D V D D 1.7 1 -0.7
197 DELONG Joshua D D V D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
198 LI Yunji (Rain) D V D D D D 2.8 1 -1.8
199 CHEN Jayden D V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
200 WEBB Jacob T. D D D D V D 3.9 1 -2.9
200 KIM Remington D D D V D D 1.5 1 -0.5
202 JADHAV Tanay D D D V D D 1.0 1 -
203 AYOTTE James D D D V D D 3.4 1 -2.4
203 WANG Marcus V D D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
205 MARTISEK Martin D D D V D D 1.9 1 -0.9
206 HERNDON Liam D D V D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
206 PARKE Nathaniel D D D V D D 3.3 1 -2.3
208 TATE William Isom D D D D V D 3.0 1 -2.0
209 RICHMOND Ozan D V D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
210 SUVOROV Yuly D D D D V D 3.7 1 -2.7
210 SINAI Nathan G. D D V D D D 5.0 1 -4.0
210 GROSSE Michael D D D V D D 2.7 1 -1.7
213 JOHNSON Jay D D D D D V 3.5 1 -2.5
214 SHEYDIN Barry V D D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
214 SAYLOR Henry D D D D D V 0.9 1 +0.1
216 CARRERO Quentin D D D V D D 1.4 1 -0.4
217 RODDENBERRY Steven D V D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
217 LEE Leo D D V D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
219 BOHLER-PARK Henry D D D D D V 1.2 1 -0.2
219 KABA Elias D D V D D D 2.7 1 -1.7
221 CHENG Thomas D D D D V D 3.8 1 -2.8
222 ZHOU alex D V D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
223 GLEN Ethan D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
224 ZUKOFSKY Zachary Missing ID 0.0 0 -
225 ZHANG Austin D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
226 GLOGOWSKI Konrad D D D D D D 3.2 0 -3.2
227 HRAPSKY Ryan J. D D D D D D 5.2 0 -5.2
227 STELTENKAMP Neal D D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1
229 KRAJ Pawel D D D D D D 3.3 0 -3.3
230 FREY Wayne N. D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0
230 SCHWITZER Eliot D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
232 BATISTA Julian D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
233 ALI Farhan D D D D D D 3.2 0 -3.2

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%