Fairfax Challenge Spring RJCC/RYC Reg Opens 12/1

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 27, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
2 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 93% 62% 14%
5 CHOI Marcus 100% 82% 42% 11% 1%
6 CAO Albert 100% 99% 79% 38% 7%
7 POIST Wylie 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
8 WOLFE Alex 100% 96% 64% 22% 3%
9 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 80% 35% 7% 1%
10 WANG Clayton 100% 86% 50% 15% 2%
11 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 90% 58% 17%
11 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 92% 59% 17%
13 CAO Brad 100% 99% 89% 51% 10%
14 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
15 SINFUEGO Adrian 100% 91% 57% 16% 2%
16 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 85% 46% 13% 1%
17 SINGH Ravin 100% 90% 53% 15% 1%
18 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
19 ZHANG Richard 100% 99% 85% 43% 7%
20 STEVENS Alexei 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
21 WANG Trontour 100% 93% 53% 12% 1%
22 LIN Harrison 100% 90% 55% 15% 1%
22 ZHANG Caden 100% 87% 50% 14% 1%
22 SINGH Aryaman 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
22 JONES Tyler 100% 86% 36% 5% -
26 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 92% 62% 24% 4%
27 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
28 DUAN eric 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
29 LEE JoonWon 100% 59% 17% 2% -
29 PAL Ian K. 100% 98% 77% 33% 5%
31 ZHANG Andy 100% 67% 21% 3% -
32 COLEMAN Jeremy 100% 94% 62% 21% 2%
33 PAN Edwin 100% 28% 3% - -
34 ALI Farhan 100% 54% 9% 1% -
35 HIGGIN Matthew 100% 78% 33% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.