Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Vet ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 1:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
2 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
5 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
6 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
7 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
8 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
9 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
10 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
11 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
12 LI Owen 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
13 LINALDI Alberto 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
14 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
15 VASILIEV Sacha M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
16 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
17 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 13%
18 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
19 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
20 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
21 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
22 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
23 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
24 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
25 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
26 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
27 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
28 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
29 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
30 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 28% 5%
31 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
32 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
33 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
34 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
35 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
36 LI Eric 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
37 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
38 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
39 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
39 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
41 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
42 KEE Andrew L. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
43 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7% -
44 BING Charles 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
45 HEMPE Jake 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
46 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
47 AHN Jun 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
48 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
49 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
50 FU Samuel Y. 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
51 TORRES Treston 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
52 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
53 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
54 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12% 1%
55 LI Matthew 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
56 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
57 GONG Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
58 LEE Jacob J 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
59 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
60 GU Andrew 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
61 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
62 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
63 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
64 SONG Bryan 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
65 JAUME Andrei 100% 98% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
66 ZHEN Ethan 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
67 JIMENEZ Diran 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
68 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
69 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
70 BOBROW Logan 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
71 WANG Mason 100% 93% 60% 19% 3% - -
72 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
73 CAI Oliver K. 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
74 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
75 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
76 LE Vyn A. 100% 98% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
77 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
78 JIN Dennis H. 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
79 PAN Eric 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
80 LIN James G. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
81 LIN Michael 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
82 PO Oliver 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
83 MOO Gareth G. 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
84 JIANG Owen 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
85 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 98% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
86 GALLER Dave 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
86 TALLARICO Matthew 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
88 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
88 TSAI Max W. 100% 94% 61% 20% 3% - -
88 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
91 KNIZHNIK David 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
92 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
93 WANG Michael 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
94 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
94 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
96 FU Yifan 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
97 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 97% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
97 SHADPOOR Ryan 100% 68% 24% 5% - - -
99 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 31% 4% - - - -
100 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 81% 33% 6% 1% - -
101 LI Ayren 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
102 REZA Farazi 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
103 AMRANI David 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.