National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
2 MATHIEU Adam - - - - 2% 21% 77%
3 TOURETTE Geoffrey - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
3 GRIFFIN John O. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
5 LI Brandon H. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
6 DANIEL Ashton - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
7 CHEN James P. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
8 EMMER Chase T. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
9 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
10 BOURTIS James S. - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
11 LOUIE Bryce - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
12 ZHANG Daniel D. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
13 MACHOVEC Andrew C. - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
14 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
15 BRAVO Kenji U. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
16 STANLEY Mason B. 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
17 ARCHER Kristjan - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
18 HOSSFELD Finn E. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
19 LIU Justin - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
20 JANG Jaewon 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% -
21 KASI Sanjay - 2% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
22 XIAO Ethan J. - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
23 YU Vinni - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
24 HOOSHI Dylan M. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
25 KAISER Hans Z. - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
26 CHEN Earnest P. - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
27 OURSLER Jack - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
28 DICKSON Farr R. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
29 REID Clayton J. - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
30 PAIK Joon K. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
31 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
32 WANG Brian S. - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
33 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
34 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
35 ORTS Lucas E. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
35 LIN Richard W. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
37 YU Eric W. - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
38 LIU Niles J. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
39 ZHENG Alan H. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
40 LEVIN Nestor R. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
41 JOHNSON Aidan J. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
42 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
43 LI Raphael C. 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
44 MITCHELL Philip D. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
45 BAS Liam 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
46 KIM Brandon J. 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
47 KELLY William J. - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9%
48 KUMBLA Samarth - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 6%
49 KATAYAMA Kevin - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
49 KO Brian J. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 2%
51 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - 2% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
52 BURKE Spencer W. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
53 UM Ethan A. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
53 SCHENCK Koen M. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
55 GRAHAM Roy J. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
56 DUDEY Michael - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
57 HOLMES Stuart S. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16%
58 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
59 GRIFFITH JACK 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
60 KIM Nicholas W. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
61 PARKINS Benjamin B. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
62 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
63 REALS Alden D. - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
64 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
65 LI Richard 1% 9% 29% 36% 19% 5% < 1%
66 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
67 LEE Benjamin H. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 3%
68 VOGLER Justin K. - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
68 LO Conrad - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
70 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
71 PARK Luke J. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
72 BANERJEE ANUP 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
73 ZHANG Henry C. 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
74 HUTH Mitchell - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
75 WU Alexander 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
76 SINGH Dayaal - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
77 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
78 SHIH William 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
79 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
80 WELCH Kyle J. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
81 ZHANG Andy W. - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
82 YEROKHIN Michael N. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
83 HOLMES Andrew E. - - 3% 17% 40% 33% 6%
84 XIAO Enoch A. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
85 DOBBINS Evan W. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
85 ANDREWS Nathan J. - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
87 BESSIRE Nolan S. - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
87 CHENG Matthew S. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
89 AYUPOV Ilya - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
90 LEE Aidan 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
91 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
92 AHN Jun 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
93 CHENG Thomas C. - 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
94 DIVENTI Paul W. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
94 CHEN Andrew 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 6% 1%
94 ONIK Elijah T. 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
97 TIERNEY David A. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
98 SHIN Philip D. - - 3% 17% 42% 33% 6%
98 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
100 TSANG Matthew K. 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
101 RITCHIE Luke W. 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
102 CHEN Allen 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
103 LEE Chaemin D. 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
104 BALL James T. 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
105 YANG Adam 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
106 SIEGEL Elliot 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
107 JIMENEZ Diran 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
108 GRASS Andrew E. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
109 RUSADZE Nickolas 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
110 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 4% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
111 KWON Ethan 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
112 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
113 FOGELSON Frederick J. 2% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
114 GEE Brandon 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
115 DORITY Philip S. - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 8%
116 YANG Andy H. 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
117 CHIN Jason Y. 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
118 HUANG Bin - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
119 LIN Dashiell 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
119 ZENG Lucas H. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
119 GOOR Julian 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
122 HORSLEY Alexander 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
123 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
124 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
125 GIRALDO Pablo E. 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
126 DESANDO Michael R. 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
127 JAIN Aditya 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
128 PELOSKY Zack B. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
129 LI Owen 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
130 KAO Castor T. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
131 LEVY Jacob M. 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 8% -
132 JEON Caleb A. 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
133 PETERS Nathan M. 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
134 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
135 CHAN Tyler 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
136 BRUK Peter J. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
137 CURLEY Sebastian D. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
138 HOOSHI Jayden C. 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
139 GRANT Lachlan K. 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3% -
140 SONG Leonardo T. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
140 HUTH Jacob 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
142 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
143 BUERGIN Aidan 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
144 CHIN Julian S. 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
145 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 4% 18% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
146 OH Samuel H. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
147 BAE Junnie 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
148 PETER Griffin 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
148 BAE Kevin 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
150 HSIUNG Richie 23% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -
151 KIM Isaiah G. 15% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
152 MAURER Ned (John) E. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
153 ZHAO Jason L. 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
154 SONG Aiden S. 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
155 KIM Yonjae 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
156 OH Jonathan 16% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
157 WU Jerry Z. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
158 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
159 FUKUDA Renzo K. 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
160 BING Charles 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
161 FLANAGAN James 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
162 LI Simon A. 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
162 ZHAI Jeffrey 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
164 BLUTT Emerson B. 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
164 OTAKE Jared K. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
166 DEGREMONT Henri S. 12% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
166 VAZQUEZ Zander 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
168 BOBROW Logan 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
169 HODESS Ethan 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
170 HO Ryan J. - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
171 XIAO EDWARD 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
172 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
172 KIM Aaron J. 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
174 SICHITIU Alexander 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
175 NAGER Noah 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
176 THAI William 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
176 LOCKWOOD Owen 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
178 ROMANOV Michael 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
179 CHOI Samuel 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
180 SHAFAIE Ali 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
180 MORGAN Quinlyn (Quin) D. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
180 FARQUHARSON Cole 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
180 SONG Dylan S. 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
184 KOBAL Maximilian 37% 41% 18% 4% - -
185 HAN Andersen Y. 15% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
186 PAEK Alex J. 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
187 LEE Chris 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
188 BREIER Matthew F. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
189 WHITEHEAD Amir 40% 42% 15% 3% - - -
190 ZHENG zhe 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
191 ZHANG Luke T. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
191 BELLUOMO David C. 19% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
193 LEE Jacob 58% 34% 8% 1% - - -
194 DAVIS Christopher M. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.