National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
2 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 TOURETTE Geoffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
3 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
5 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
6 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
7 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
8 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
9 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 25%
10 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
11 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
12 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
13 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
14 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
15 BRAVO Kenji U. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
16 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
17 ARCHER Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
18 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
19 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
20 JANG Jaewon 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
21 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
22 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
23 YU Vinni 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
24 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
25 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
26 CHEN Earnest P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
27 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
28 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
29 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
30 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
31 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
32 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
33 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
34 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 14%
35 ORTS Lucas E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
35 LIN Richard W. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
37 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
38 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
39 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
40 LEVIN Nestor R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
41 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
42 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
43 LI Raphael C. 100% 99% 92% 69% 37% 11% 1%
44 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
45 BAS Liam 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
46 KIM Brandon J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
47 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
48 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
49 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
49 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 19% 2%
51 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
52 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
53 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
53 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1%
55 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
56 DUDEY Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
57 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
58 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
59 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
60 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
61 PARKINS Benjamin B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
62 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
63 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
64 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 2%
65 LI Richard 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% < 1%
66 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
67 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 3%
68 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
68 LO Conrad 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
70 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
71 PARK Luke J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
72 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
73 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
74 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
75 WU Alexander 100% 96% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
76 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
77 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
78 SHIH William 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
79 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
80 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
81 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
82 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
83 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 6%
84 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
85 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
85 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
87 BESSIRE Nolan S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
87 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
89 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
90 LEE Aidan 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
91 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
92 AHN Jun 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
93 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
94 DIVENTI Paul W. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
94 CHEN Andrew 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
94 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
97 TIERNEY David A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
98 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39% 6%
98 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
100 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
101 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
102 CHEN Allen 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2% -
103 LEE Chaemin D. 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
104 BALL James T. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
105 YANG Adam 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
106 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
107 JIMENEZ Diran 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
108 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 3%
109 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
110 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 96% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
111 KWON Ethan 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
112 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
113 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
114 GEE Brandon 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
115 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
116 YANG Andy H. 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
117 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
118 HUANG Bin 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
119 LIN Dashiell 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
119 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
119 GOOR Julian 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
122 HORSLEY Alexander 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
123 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
124 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
125 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
126 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
127 JAIN Aditya 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
128 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
129 LI Owen 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
130 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
131 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% -
132 JEON Caleb A. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
133 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
134 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
135 CHAN Tyler 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
136 BRUK Peter J. 100% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
137 CURLEY Sebastian D. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
138 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
139 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
140 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
140 HUTH Jacob 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
142 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
143 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
144 CHIN Julian S. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
145 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
146 OH Samuel H. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
147 BAE Junnie 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
148 PETER Griffin 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
148 BAE Kevin 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
150 HSIUNG Richie 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
151 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
152 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
153 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
154 SONG Aiden S. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
155 KIM Yonjae 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
156 OH Jonathan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
157 WU Jerry Z. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
158 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
159 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
160 BING Charles 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
161 FLANAGAN James 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
162 LI Simon A. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 2% -
162 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
164 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 3% -
164 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
166 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
166 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
168 BOBROW Logan 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
169 HODESS Ethan 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
170 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
171 XIAO EDWARD 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
172 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
172 KIM Aaron J. 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
174 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
175 NAGER Noah 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
176 THAI William 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
176 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
178 ROMANOV Michael 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
179 CHOI Samuel 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
180 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
180 MORGAN Quinlyn (Quin) D. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
180 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% - -
180 SONG Dylan S. 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
184 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
185 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
186 PAEK Alex J. 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
187 LEE Chris 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -
188 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
189 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
190 ZHENG zhe 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
191 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
191 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% - -
193 LEE Jacob 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -
194 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.