The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
2 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
3 MAYER Paul-Magnus V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
3 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
5 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
6 ZHU Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
7 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 24%
8 FU Leon 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
9 GAITHER Christopher W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
10 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 20%
11 DAO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
12 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
13 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
14 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 96% 76% 32% 5%
15 MUGA Aiden 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
16 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
17 MIAO KUNQI 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
18 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
19 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
20 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
21 CHEN Zhengyang 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
22 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10% 1%
23 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
24 KIM Teddy 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
25 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
26 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
26 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
28 KIM Ian 100% 85% 51% 18% 4% -
29 LAI Boden 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
30 GONZALEZ Kian 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
31 THOMSON Champa 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
32 GRAMMATIKOV Michael 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
33 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 98% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
34 CHEN Bowen 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
35 AYALA Nayen L. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
35 SINHA Zaan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
37 HESSE Hans 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
38 DAS Roshan 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
39 YU Austin 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6% -
40 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
41 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
42 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
43 ALI Farhan 100% 92% 56% 16% 2% -
44 KOLLARS Jacob 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
45 OBREBSKI Kevin 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
46 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
47 LEE JiYuen 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
48 LEE Damien 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% - -
49 KUANG Bryan 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
50 WANG Joey 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
51 MANGAN Hunter 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
51 HERNDON Liam 100% 93% 59% 18% 2% -
53 RUSSELL Michael 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
54 OLSON Joseph 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
55 AYOTTE James 100% 74% 29% 6% - - -
56 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 98% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
57 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
58 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
59 XIONG Aaron 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
60 GARCIA Patrick 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
61 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
62 PARRA Sebastian 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
63 LI zerong 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% 1%
64 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
65 RAGHU Niketh 100% 96% 59% 16% 2% - -
66 MAXU Tiger 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
67 KIM Remington 100% 36% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.