Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Cadet Men's Foil

Friday, June 18, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
2 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
3 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
3 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
5 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
6 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
7 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
8 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 46% 7%
9 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
10 YU Jonathan J. 100% 100% 100% 93% 61% 18% 1%
11 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 5%
12 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
13 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
14 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
15 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
16 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
17 WAN Jason 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 53% 9%
18 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
19 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
20 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
21 LIN Michael 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
22 WOO Christian 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
23 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
24 LUH Ethan K. 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
25 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
26 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 4%
27 ZHAO Dylan L. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
28 REEVES Liam 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
29 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
30 LI Matthew 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
31 KNIZHNIK David 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
32 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 99% 84% 44% 7% - -
33 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
34 OH SEAN 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
35 LIU Eric Y. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
35 ZHENG zhe 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
37 PAN Henry 100% 96% 68% 21% 3% - -
38 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 4%
39 WANG Winston 100% 96% 68% 24% 2% - -
40 GONZALEZ Matthew 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
41 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
41 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
43 GAO William 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
44 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% 1% -
45 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
46 SONG Austin 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
47 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
48 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 97% 64% 22% 3% - -
49 CHENG Nathan 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
50 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
51 KUMAMOTO Sota 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 13% 1%
52 BERNABE Rafael 100% 99% 88% 51% 14% 1% -
53 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
54 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
55 POLONSKI Anthony 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
56 CHOI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
57 DRESSEL Jet 100% 92% 57% 16% 1% - -
58 WANG Brayden 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
59 VIVEROS Antonio 100% 86% 37% 6% - - -
60 LONG Connor M. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
61 LIN James G. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
62 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
63 LI Ryan Z. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
64 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
65 QUINN Nathan 100% 22% 2% - - - -
66 KAN Edward 100% 46% 8% - - - -
67 JEFFERS Edison 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.