Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Cadet Men's Foil

Friday, June 18, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Enoch A. - - - - 4% 31% 64%
2 XIAO Ethan J. - - - - 2% 20% 79%
3 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
3 ZHANG Andy W. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
5 JEON Caleb A. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
6 WU Nicholas - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
7 DAI Jonathan T. - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 16%
8 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - 1% 10% 44% 39% 7%
9 YANG Luao - - - - 4% 28% 68%
10 YU Jonathan J. - - 7% 31% 43% 17% 1%
11 KEE Andrew L. - - 2% 15% 42% 35% 5%
12 SCHENCK Koen M. - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
13 SHA Yi Peng - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
14 MOHAMED Amir - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
15 HOBSON Aaron K. - 2% 11% 27% 36% 21% 4%
16 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
17 WAN Jason - - - 7% 40% 44% 9%
18 LEE Aidan - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
19 BUERGIN Aidan 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
20 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - 1% 8% 25% 39% 23% 4%
21 LIN Michael 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
22 WOO Christian 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
23 SUNG Chang-Han S. 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
24 LUH Ethan K. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
25 MOHAMED Murad - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
26 NEWELL Ian A. - - 2% 15% 42% 37% 4%
27 ZHAO Dylan L. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
28 REEVES Liam 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
29 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% -
30 LI Matthew 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1%
31 KNIZHNIK David 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
32 EMENHEISER Conrad 1% 14% 40% 37% 7% - -
33 SONG Leonardo T. - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
34 OH SEAN 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
35 LIU Eric Y. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
35 ZHENG zhe 3% 20% 38% 28% 10% 1% -
37 PAN Henry 4% 28% 46% 18% 3% - -
38 TANG Owen S. - - 3% 18% 43% 31% 4%
39 WANG Winston 4% 28% 44% 21% 2% - -
40 GONZALEZ Matthew 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
41 WECHSLER Jacob 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
41 TAHOUN Mostafa 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
43 GAO William 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
44 ALONSO Vinicius 1% 17% 41% 32% 8% 1% -
45 GISLER Benjamin B. 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
46 SONG Austin 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
47 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 2% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
48 TIKHAEV Alexander 3% 33% 42% 19% 3% - -
49 CHENG Nathan 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
50 PRASANNA Advaith 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
51 KUMAMOTO Sota - 1% 10% 38% 39% 12% 1%
52 BERNABE Rafael 1% 12% 37% 37% 12% 1% -
53 TIAN Aaron C. 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
54 MILLER Aidan A. 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% -
55 POLONSKI Anthony 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
56 CHOI Samuel - < 1% 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
57 DRESSEL Jet 8% 35% 41% 15% 1% - -
58 WANG Brayden 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
59 VIVEROS Antonio 14% 48% 31% 5% - - -
60 LONG Connor M. 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
61 LIN James G. < 1% 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
62 ORLOV Dmitriy 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
63 LI Ryan Z. 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
64 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
65 QUINN Nathan 78% 20% 2% - - - -
66 KAN Edward 54% 38% 7% - - - -
67 JEFFERS Edison 56% 36% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.