Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, June 19, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
2 WU Byron 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
3 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 5%
3 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
5 JACKSON James 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
6 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
7 WANG Tristan 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
8 BEACH Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
9 PARK Frederick 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
10 PARK Vincent 100% 100% 91% 63% 26% 4%
11 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
12 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
13 DUDLEY Logan M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
14 WU Jonathan 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
15 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
16 HORTELANO Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
17 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
18 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
19 LURVEY Samuel 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
20 WANG Clayton 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
21 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
22 LIN Harrison 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
23 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
24 BLUM Oliver 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
25 VALES Keyan 100% 99% 89% 53% 16% 2%
26 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
27 LEE JoonWon 100% 67% 20% 3% - -
28 MATTO Edward J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
29 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
30 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1%
31 SNYDER Ari 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
32 PAN Colin 100% 87% 51% 15% 2% -
33 PARNAS Ely 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
34 KIM Ryan 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
35 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 98% 79% 42% 11% 1%
36 ZHANG Richard 100% 67% 19% 2% - -
37 JEON Hwidong 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
38 FU Ethan 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
39 MILLER Kurt 100% 60% 13% 1% - -
40 ZHANG Andy 100% 89% 44% 11% 1% - -
41 WANG Trontour 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
42 TAHOUN Aly 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
43 ANDERSON Donald 100% 41% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.