Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, June 19, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 6%
3 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 GAO William 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
5 OH SEAN 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
6 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
8 KUMAMOTO Sota 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
9 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
10 LIN James G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 1%
11 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
12 WANG Winston 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
13 LIN Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
14 PO Oliver 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
15 ZHENG zhe 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
16 LIU Eric Y. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
17 LEE Jacob 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
18 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 13%
19 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 3%
20 LI Matthew 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
21 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
22 SONG Bryan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
23 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
24 WOO Christian 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
25 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
26 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
27 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
28 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
29 WANG Brayden 100% 99% 81% 28% 4% - -
30 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% - -
31 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
32 LEE Lukas 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
33 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 16% 2%
34 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
35 SONG Austin 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
36 PAN Henry 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% -
37 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 91% 58% 18% 1%
38 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 99% 80% 38% 8% -
39 HUANG Eythan 100% 99% 75% 32% 6% -
40 TANG Albert 100% 94% 58% 19% 3% -
41 LIANG David 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
42 POLONSKI Anthony 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
43 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
44 LIU Ryan 100% 97% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
45 RNO Kyler 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
46 TANG August L. 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2%
47 DANIZ T FERNANDO A. 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
48 KETTELLE John 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
49 MAO Lucas 100% 83% 48% 17% 3% - -
50 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 2% -
51 CHO Xzander 100% 74% 19% 1% - - -
52 HAN Derek 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
53 SEMP Iain 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
54 TANG Alexander L. 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
54 YAP Nathan 100% 89% 52% 14% 1% - -
56 QUINN Nathan 100% 45% 5% - - - -
57 DUNLAP Ian 100% 16% 1% - - -
58 PRICE Owen 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
59 WATSON Logan 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.