Fortune Fencing ROC/VET/RJCC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, September 5, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Ontario, CA - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEAVER Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
2 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 YOUNG Jr Colby 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
3 AHN Gus 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
5 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
6 KOPPE Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
7 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
8 WERCHAN Andrew R. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 6%
9 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 3%
10 SARKAR agniv 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
11 QUITORIANO Matthew 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
12 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
13 HARRIS Roark S. 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
14 LIANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
15 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
16 ZHANG Andrew 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
17 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
18 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
19 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
20 SARKAR Anish 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
20 KIRK Marcus Haagen 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 3%
22 AYABINA JR John 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
23 WARD Edward 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
24 LEE Richard U. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
25 HARR Carver 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
26 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
27 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
28 BURLING Trenor 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
29 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1%
30 FERDOWSIAN Samuel A 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
31 LEE Joseph J. 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
32 MIAO KUNQI 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
33 WANG owen 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
34 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
35 GAURIAT Olivier 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
36 MUNOZ Humberto 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
37 WONG Nathan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
38 ROBSON Sam 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
39 COMER Alexander J. 100% 100% 89% 56% 20% 3%
40 CUEVAS Tom 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 5%
41 ZHANG Nathan 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
42 WATT Darren 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
43 WEISSGERBER Kenneth 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
44 CHUANG Kenneth H. 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2%
45 LIU Yikun 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
46 LAU Christian 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
47 ANDERSON Donald 100% 29% 3% - - -
48 KIM Sullivan 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
49 LEE Chun Po 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
50 MAJAM Audie 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
51 QUITORIANO Jonathan 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.