American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Event Center at Valley Forge - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHAO Luhan 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
2 BRUNET Nathan - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
3 LEE Daniel Y. - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
3 LEE Seungwon - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
5 BHATNAGAR Ayan - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
6 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
7 RICHARD Owen - - 4% 21% 50% 24%
8 PRIHODKO Max 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5%
9 WU Joseph - - 1% 10% 43% 47%
10 JIN Owen - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
11 GAO Daniel - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
12 WIECHMANN Colin 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
13 GORTI Agustya 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
14 CHOI Mason - 4% 19% 38% 32% 8%
15 TRIMMER Colin - 2% 15% 34% 35% 13%
16 YANG Edward 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
17 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
18 LI Jalen 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
19 VALES Keyan 3% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
20 LAI Aedin 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
21 DISIMONE David Z. - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
22 SIMPSON Patrick - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
23 CHEN Eric - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
24 BANKULLA Nihal R. 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
25 SERAFIN Ben 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
26 LI Jeffrey 3% 18% 38% 33% 8% 1%
27 ROSENBERG Jacob 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
28 CHAI Jonathan - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
29 LEE Samuel Y. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
30 MAENG Jake W. - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
31 KUCZAJDA Matthew 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 4%
32 SHEN Max 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
33 NOVOJILOV Alexei 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
34 JAAFAR Omar - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
35 MORSE Tyler - 4% 20% 38% 31% 8%
36 BASOK Nikita 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
37 HE Lawrence - 3% 17% 35% 33% 11%
38 HAN Dongcheng 2% 17% 37% 32% 12% 1%
39 LAM Bill 19% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
40 ZENG Zihan 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
41 WU Marcus 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1%
42 LAI Coby 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
43 FUSSMAN Yuval 63% 31% 6% - - -
44 WU Jonathan 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
45 DUAN eric 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
45 CHOE Andrew 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
47 PARK Frederick 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 3%
48 KUMAR Aidan 5% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
49 HU Robert J. 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
50 WHITEHURST JJ 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
51 OTTO Nathaniel B. 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
52 LIU Terry 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
53 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
54 MARTINEZ Joshua 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
55 CHEN Jun Ho 9% 32% 39% 17% 2% -
56 GONG Haixiang 16% 41% 31% 10% 2% -
57 WADE Grayson 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
57 XIA Oliver 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
59 CHEN Matthew 45% 39% 13% 2% - -
60 REDDY Arya 47% 39% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.